Ezrealvs Smolder
Ezreal vs Smolder is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Smolder wins with a 53.8% win rate (+7.5%) over Ezreal based on 93 games. Ezreal wins the early laning phase while Smolder scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Ezreal build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Ezreal vs Smolder matchup.
Ezreal Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Ezreal performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Ezreal vs Smolder?
Ezreal wins 43.7% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 36.8% and 50.8% (95% range).
- Expected
- 45.3% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −1.7 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 190 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.18
- +0.3 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Smolder, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Ezreal wins 43.7% of 190 games (95% range 36.8–50.8%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 45.3% for Ezreal; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Ezreal usually wins the lane: 490 gold ahead of Smolder at 15 minutes on average (189 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
- Ezreal players pick Cut Down much less often against Smolder: 22.9% of their other Bot games, 15.3% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Ezreal and Smolder played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Ezreal's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Ezreal vs Smolder Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Ezreal vs Smolder Win Rate by Game Length
Ezreal's win rate against Smolder by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Ezreal's results against Smolder in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Ezreal vs Smolder Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EzrealEzreal gold at 15: +490
- First itemSmolderEzreal: 12.5 min · Smolder: 11.9 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenEzreal wins 53.5% of 71 games
- 30+ min gamesSmolderEzreal wins 36.6% of 112 games
What Ezreal Changes Against Smolder
Choices Ezreal players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Cut DownRuneUsually22.9%vs Smolder15.3%−7.7 pts37.9% WR here
Health Potion + Health Potion + Tear of the Goddess + Stealth WardStarting itemsUsually5.7%vs Smolder11.1%+5.3 pts38.1% WR here
SorcerySecondary treeUsually5.4%vs Smolder10.0%+4.6 pts
Gathering StormRuneUsually3.2%vs Smolder6.8%+3.6 pts
TranscendenceRuneUsually3.3%vs Smolder6.3%+3.0 pts
Best Ezreal Build vs Smolder
Usual Ezreal build (Bot)
60.4% win rate · 111 games
Against Smolder
56.5% win rate · 23 games
Limited sample: 23 of 147 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Ezreal usually completes Trinity Force first, at 12.5 min (median of 137 games).
- Smolder usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 11.9 min (median of 165 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Ezreal Runes vs Smolder
Usual Ezreal runes (Bot)
Lethal Tempo
52.1% win rate · 267 games
Against Smolder
Lethal Tempo
43.9% win rate · 66 games
Plan your Ezreal draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Ezreal matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Ezreal's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Ezreal build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Ezreal Matchups
Hardest for Ezreal
Easiest for Ezreal
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Ezreal vs Smolder FAQ - Patch 26.19
Who wins Ezreal vs Smolder?
Current data slightly favors Smolder, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Ezreal wins 43.7% of 190 games (95% range 36.8–50.8%).
What is Ezreal's win rate against Smolder?
Ezreal wins 43.7% of 190 Bot games against Smolder on patch 26.19 (95% range 36.8–50.8%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 45.3% would be expected.
Does Ezreal counter Smolder?
Not clearly. Ezreal wins 43.7% of 190 games against Smolder, and the 95% range (36.8–50.8%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Ezreal or Smolder?
Ezreal usually wins the lane: 490 gold ahead of Smolder at 15 minutes on average (189 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Ezreal outscale Smolder?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Smolder strongest against Ezreal?
Smolder is measurably ahead in: First item, 30+ min games.
What should Ezreal build against Smolder?
The most successful Ezreal core against Smolder is Spear of Shojin, Trinity Force, Muramana (56.5% over 23 games). The biggest change against Smolder: Health Potion + Health Potion + Tear of the Goddess + Stealth Ward (5.7% usually, 11.1% here).
What runes should Ezreal use against Smolder?
Lethal Tempo with Precision and Inspiration — 43.9% over 66 games against Smolder. The biggest change against Smolder: Cut Down (22.9% usually, 15.3% here).