Ezrealvs Lucian
Ezreal vs Lucian is a moderate matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Ezreal wins with a 51.4% win rate (+2.7%) over Lucian based on 111 games. Lucian wins the early laning phase while Ezreal scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Ezreal build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Ezreal vs Lucian matchup.
Ezreal Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Ezreal performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Ezreal vs Lucian?
Ezreal wins 50.4% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 44.5% and 56.2% (95% range).
- Expected
- 49.9% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- +0.5 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 278 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.18
- +4.5 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28
They also met in another lane (Mid): 3 games, Ezreal won 66.7%.
Key takeaways
- Ezreal vs Lucian is an even matchup: Ezreal wins 50.4% of 278 games, and the 95% range (44.5–56.2%) comfortably includes 50%.
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 49.9% for Ezreal; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 32, within the margin of error (275 games).
- Ezreal players pick Trinity Force far more often against Lucian: 80.6% of their other Bot games, 86.3% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Ezreal and Lucian played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Ezreal's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Ezreal vs Lucian Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Ezreal vs Lucian Win Rate by Game Length
Ezreal's win rate against Lucian by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Ezreal's results against Lucian in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Ezreal vs Lucian Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenEzreal gold at 15: −32
- First itemLucianEzreal: 12.5 min · Lucian: 11.0 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenEzreal wins 53.8% of 117 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenEzreal wins 50.4% of 135 games
What Ezreal Changes Against Lucian
Choices Ezreal players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Trinity ForceItemUsually80.6%vs Lucian86.3%+5.7 pts52.5% WR here
ConquerorKeystoneUsually10.3%vs Lucian14.0%+3.8 pts51.3% WR here
Health Potion + Health Potion + Tear of the GoddessStarting itemsUsually8.4%vs Lucian4.7%−3.8 pts
Best Ezreal Build vs Lucian
Usual Ezreal build (Bot)
60.4% win rate · 111 games
Against Lucian
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 16 of 202 Ezreal games against Lucian carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Ezreal's standard build instead.
- Ezreal usually completes Trinity Force first, at 12.5 min (median of 230 games).
- Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 11.0 min (median of 225 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Ezreal Runes vs Lucian
Usual Ezreal runes (Bot)
Lethal Tempo
52.1% win rate · 267 games
Against Lucian
Conqueror
58.6% win rate · 29 games
Plan your Ezreal draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Ezreal matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Ezreal's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Ezreal build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Ezreal Matchups
Hardest for Ezreal
Easiest for Ezreal
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Ezreal vs Lucian FAQ - Patch 26.19
Who wins Ezreal vs Lucian?
Ezreal vs Lucian is an even matchup: Ezreal wins 50.4% of 278 games, and the 95% range (44.5–56.2%) comfortably includes 50%.
What is Ezreal's win rate against Lucian?
Ezreal wins 50.4% of 278 Bot games against Lucian on patch 26.19 (95% range 44.5–56.2%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 49.9% would be expected.
Does Ezreal counter Lucian?
Not clearly. Ezreal wins 50.4% of 278 games against Lucian, and the 95% range (44.5–56.2%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Ezreal or Lucian?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 32, within the margin of error (275 games).
Does Ezreal outscale Lucian?
Not measurably: Ezreal's win rate against Lucian in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.
When is Lucian strongest against Ezreal?
Lucian is measurably ahead in: First item.
What should Ezreal build against Lucian?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Ezreal's usual Bot core: Spear of Shojin, Frozen Heart, Trinity Force. The biggest change against Lucian: Trinity Force (80.6% usually, 86.3% here).
What runes should Ezreal use against Lucian?
Conqueror with Precision and Inspiration — 58.6% over 29 games against Lucian. The biggest change against Lucian: Conqueror (10.3% usually, 14.0% here).