Lucianvs Ezreal
Lucian vs Ezreal is a moderate matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Ezreal wins with a 51.4% win rate (+2.7%) over Lucian based on 111 games. Lucian wins the early laning phase while Ezreal scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Lucian vs Ezreal matchup.
Lucian Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Lucian performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Lucian vs Ezreal?
Lucian wins 49.6% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 43.8% and 55.5% (95% range).
- Expected
- 50.1% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −0.5 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 278 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.18
- −4.5 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28
They also met in another lane (Mid): 3 games, Lucian won 33.3%.
Key takeaways
- Lucian vs Ezreal is an even matchup: Lucian wins 49.6% of 278 games, and the 95% range (43.8–55.5%) comfortably includes 50%.
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 50.1% for Lucian; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 32, within the margin of error (275 games).
- Lucian players pick Navori Flickerblade far more often against Ezreal: 67.7% of their other Bot games, 75.2% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Lucian and Ezreal played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Lucian's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Lucian vs Ezreal Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Lucian vs Ezreal Win Rate by Game Length
Lucian's win rate against Ezreal by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Lucian's results against Ezreal in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Lucian vs Ezreal Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenLucian gold at 15: +32
- First itemLucianLucian: 11.0 min · Ezreal: 12.5 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenLucian wins 46.2% of 117 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenLucian wins 49.6% of 135 games
What Lucian Changes Against Ezreal
Choices Lucian players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Usually67.7%vs Ezreal75.2%+7.4 pts48.8% WR here
Gluttonous GreavesBootsUsually29.2%vs Ezreal34.9%+5.7 pts53.6% WR here
Presence of MindRuneUsually81.9%vs Ezreal87.4%+5.5 pts50.6% WR here
Usually81.7%vs Ezreal87.1%+5.4 pts49.6% WR here
Press the AttackKeystoneUsually82.5%vs Ezreal87.8%+5.3 pts50.8% WR here
Best Lucian Build vs Ezreal
Usual Lucian build (Bot)
59.3% win rate · 91 games
Against Ezreal
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 12 of 208 Lucian games against Ezreal carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Lucian's standard build instead.
- Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 11.0 min (median of 225 games).
- Ezreal usually completes Trinity Force first, at 12.5 min (median of 230 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Lucian Runes vs Ezreal
Usual Lucian runes (Bot)
Press the Attack
71.4% win rate · 21 games
Against Ezreal
Too few games for a matchup-specific rune page yet — use the usual page.
Plan your Lucian draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Lucian matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Lucian's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Lucian Matchups
Hardest for Lucian
Easiest for Lucian
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Lucian vs Ezreal FAQ - Patch 26.19
Who wins Lucian vs Ezreal?
Lucian vs Ezreal is an even matchup: Lucian wins 49.6% of 278 games, and the 95% range (43.8–55.5%) comfortably includes 50%.
What is Lucian's win rate against Ezreal?
Lucian wins 49.6% of 278 Bot games against Ezreal on patch 26.19 (95% range 43.8–55.5%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 50.1% would be expected.
Does Lucian counter Ezreal?
Not clearly. Lucian wins 49.6% of 278 games against Ezreal, and the 95% range (43.8–55.5%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Lucian or Ezreal?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 32, within the margin of error (275 games).
Does Lucian outscale Ezreal?
Not measurably: Lucian's win rate against Ezreal in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.
When is Ezreal strongest against Lucian?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Ezreal is ahead of Lucian beyond the margin of error.
What should Lucian build against Ezreal?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Lucian's usual Bot core: Navori Flickerblade, Essence Reaver, Maw of Malmortius. The biggest change against Ezreal: Navori Flickerblade (67.7% usually, 75.2% here).
What runes should Lucian use against Ezreal?
Use Lucian's usual Press the Attack page (Precision + Inspiration); there are too few games for a matchup-specific page. The biggest change against Ezreal: Presence of Mind (81.9% usually, 87.4% here).