- Win Rate
- 49.2%
- Pick Rate
- 4.9%
- Ban Rate
- 3.9%
Ashe vs Caitlyn
- Patch
- 26.21
- Games
- 9,783
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Nov 3, 2026 UTC
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
Ashe vs Caitlyn is a moderate matchup in LoL patch 26.21. Ashe wins with a 51.9% win rate (+3.8%) over Caitlyn based on 877 games. Ashe holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Ashe build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Ashe vs Caitlyn matchup.
Ashe Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Ashe performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Ashe vs Caitlyn?
Ashe wins 52.3% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 48.9% and 55.6% (95% range).
- Expected
- 50.3% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- +2.0 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 836 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.20
- +1.9 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.21 · Oct 27 – Nov 3
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Ashe, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Ashe wins 52.3% of 836 games (95% range 48.9–55.6%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 50.3% for Ashe; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Caitlyn usually wins the lane: 343 gold ahead of Ashe at 15 minutes on average (829 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
- Ashe players pick Lord Dominik's Regards much less often against Caitlyn: 20.4% of their other Bot games, 17.3% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Ashe and Caitlyn played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Ashe's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Ashe vs Caitlyn Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Ashe vs Caitlyn Win Rate by Game Length
Ashe's win rate against Caitlyn by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Ashe's results against Caitlyn in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Ashe vs Caitlyn Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)CaitlynAshe gold at 15: −343
- First itemCaitlynAshe: 12.1 min · Caitlyn: 11.1 min
- Games under 20 minEvenAshe wins 56.6% of 53 games
- 20–30 min gamesEvenAshe wins 49.5% of 319 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenAshe wins 53.7% of 464 games
What Ashe Changes Against Caitlyn
Choices Ashe players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Usually20.4%vs Caitlyn17.3%−3.0 pts54.5% WR here
Best Ashe Build vs Caitlyn
Usual Ashe build (Bot)
90.9% win rate · 11 games
- Ashe usually completes Hexoptics C44 first, at 12.1 min (median of 380 games).
- Caitlyn usually completes Hexoptics C44 first, at 11.1 min (median of 375 games).
- Skill priority: W > Q > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Ashe Runes vs Caitlyn
Usual Ashe runes (Bot)
Lethal Tempo
60.3% win rate · 68 games
Against Caitlyn
Press the Attack
57.0% win rate · 93 games
Plan your Ashe draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Ashe matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.21. The table below shows Ashe's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Ashe build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Ashe Matchups
Hardest for Ashe
Easiest for Ashe
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Ashe vs Caitlyn FAQ - Patch 26.21
Who wins Ashe vs Caitlyn?
Current data slightly favors Ashe, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Ashe wins 52.3% of 836 games (95% range 48.9–55.6%).
What is Ashe's win rate against Caitlyn?
Ashe wins 52.3% of 836 Bot games against Caitlyn on patch 26.21 (95% range 48.9–55.6%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 50.3% would be expected.
Does Ashe counter Caitlyn?
Not clearly. Ashe wins 52.3% of 836 games against Caitlyn, and the 95% range (48.9–55.6%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Ashe or Caitlyn?
Caitlyn usually wins the lane: 343 gold ahead of Ashe at 15 minutes on average (829 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Ashe outscale Caitlyn?
Not measurably: Ashe's win rate against Caitlyn in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.
When is Caitlyn strongest against Ashe?
Caitlyn is measurably ahead in: Lane (15 min), First item.
What should Ashe build against Caitlyn?
The most successful Ashe core against Caitlyn is Phantom Dancer, Infinity Edge, Hexoptics C44 (67.6% over 68 games). The biggest change against Caitlyn: Lord Dominik's Regards (20.4% usually, 17.3% here).
What runes should Ashe use against Caitlyn?
Press the Attack with Precision and Domination — 57.0% over 93 games against Caitlyn.