Operation Breakout Weapon Case

Operation Breakout Weapon Case The Breakout Collection

Skins
14
Covert
2
Rare Special Item
Butterfly Knife
Methodology
Data Methodology

The Operation Breakout Weapon Case holds 14 skins plus a rare special item (Butterfly Knife). Its Covert skins are M4A1-S | Cyrex, P90 | Asiimov. Below you'll find every item with its exact drop chance from Valve's published odds and a simulator to open it for free.

Operation Breakout Weapon Case contents

All 14 skins, highest rarity first. Each item's chance is its rarity's published odds split evenly across the items in that rarity.

★ Rare Special Item

0.26%
Butterfly Knife

★ Butterfly Knife

1 in about 385 opens (0.26%) gives a rare special item. In this case that's this knife, in any of its finishes:

  • ★ Butterfly Knife

Covert

2 items · 0.64% total
  • M4A1-S | Cyrex
    M4A1-SCyrex0.32% per open
  • P90 | Asiimov
    P90Asiimov0.32% per open

Classified

3 items · 3.2% total

Restricted

4 items · 15.98% total

Mil-Spec Grade

5 items · 79.92% total
  • MP7 | Urban Hazard
    MP7Urban Hazard15.98% per open
  • Negev | Desert-Strike
    NegevDesert-Strike15.98% per open
  • P2000 | Ivory
    P2000Ivory15.98% per open
  • SSG 08 | Abyss
    SSG 08Abyss15.98% per open
  • UMP-45 | Labyrinth
    UMP-45Labyrinth15.98% per open

Case opening simulator

Open the Operation Breakout Weapon Case as often as you like and compare your results with Valve's odds. Single opens play the reel; ×10 rolls ten at once.

Simulation only. Nothing here is real: no keys, no items, no money. Every roll uses Valve's published odds and an even split within each rarity.

0 opened

Your results vs expected

RarityYou gotExpected
Rare Special Item00
Covert00
Classified00
Restricted00
Mil-Spec Grade00

Session history

Open a case to start your session.

Operation Breakout Weapon Case drop odds

Valve's published odds by rarity, with the number of Operation Breakout Weapon Case items in each rarity and the resulting chance per item. A specific Covert skin is 0.32% per open, and any single Mil-Spec skin is 15.98%.

CS2 weapon case drop odds by rarity
RarityChanceAbout 1 inItemsPer item
Rare Special Item0.26%38510.26%
Covert0.64%15620.32%
Classified3.2%3131.07%
Restricted15.98%644%
Mil-Spec Grade79.92%1515.98%

Source: the odds Valve publishes for CS2 weapon cases. Inside a rarity, every item is equally likely. Any weapon (and any knife) also has a 10% chance to be StatTrak™. Gloves are never StatTrak™.

The Operation Breakout Weapon Case (The Breakout Collection) contains 14 skins: 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 4 Restricted and 5 Mil-Spec. With Valve's published odds, each Covert skin (M4A1-S | Cyrex, P90 | Asiimov) drops 0.32% of the time, and a StatTrak™ Covert is about 0.064% per open. Its rare special item is the Butterfly Knife pool (Butterfly Knife) at 0.26% per open, roughly 1 in 385.

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Operation Breakout Weapon Case FAQ

What's in the Operation Breakout Weapon Case?

The Operation Breakout Weapon Case contains 14 skins: 2 Covert (M4A1-S | Cyrex, P90 | Asiimov), 3 Classified, 4 Restricted and 5 Mil-Spec, plus a rare special item (Butterfly Knife).

What are the Operation Breakout Weapon Case odds?

Valve's published odds apply: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and rare special 0.26%. Split across this case's items, each Covert skin is 0.32% per open and each Mil-Spec skin is 15.98%.

What knife or gloves can drop from the Operation Breakout Weapon Case?

The Operation Breakout Weapon Case's rare special item is a knife: Butterfly Knife. It drops 0.26% of the time, about once every 385 opens, and can be StatTrak™.

Can the Operation Breakout Weapon Case drop StatTrak™ items?

Yes. Every weapon and knife from the Operation Breakout Weapon Case has a 10% chance to be StatTrak™, so a StatTrak™ Covert is about 0.064% per open.

Can I open the Operation Breakout Weapon Case for free?

You can simulate it for free on this page. The simulator uses Valve's published odds and opens nothing real: no keys, no items, no money. In-game, opening a case needs its matching key.