- Win Rate
- 49.0%
- Pick Rate
- 2.4%
- Ban Rate
- 3.2%
Kalista vs Smolder
- Patch
- 26.22
- Games
- 4,592
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Nov 14, 2026 UTC
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
Kalista vs Smolder (Bot): Kalista wins 36.6% of 164 ranked games over the last 2 patches (gold diff at 15: +709). Patch 26.22 build & runes.
Kalista36.6%
Smolder is favored in this matchup: Kalista wins 36.6% of 164 games, and the whole 95% range (29.6–44.2%) is on the same side of 50%.
Kalista Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Kalista performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Kalista vs Smolder?
Kalista wins 36.6% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 29.6% and 44.2% (95% range).
- Expected
- 48.3% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −11.7 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 164 games Lane: Bot · Patch 26.21–26.22
- vs patch 26.21
- +6.3 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.21–26.22 · Oct 27 – Nov 14
The headline win rate covers patches 26.21–26.22 (164 games). The lane, game-length, build and rune sections below use patch 26.22 only (75 games).
Key takeaways
- Smolder is favored in this matchup: Kalista wins 36.6% of 164 games, and the whole 95% range (29.6–44.2%) is on the same side of 50%.
- That is 11.7 points worse for Kalista than both champions' overall Bot win rates predict (48.3%), so the matchup itself works against this pick.
- Kalista usually wins the lane: 709 gold ahead of Smolder at 15 minutes on average (75 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
- Kalista players pick Flash + Barrier far more often against Smolder: 53.0% of their other Bot games, 65.3% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Kalista and Smolder played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Kalista's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Kalista vs Smolder Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Kalista vs Smolder Win Rate by Game Length
Kalista's win rate against Smolder by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Kalista's results against Smolder in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Kalista vs Smolder Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)KalistaKalista gold at 15: +709
- First itemEvenKalista: 10.9 min · Smolder: 11.3 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Kalista Changes Against Smolder
Choices Kalista players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Flash + BarrierSummoner spellsUsually53.0%vs Smolder65.3%+12.3 pts42.9% WR here
Last StandRuneUsually65.5%vs Smolder77.3%+11.9 pts41.4% WR here
Sudden ImpactRuneUsually81.6%vs Smolder90.7%+9.1 pts42.6% WR here
Usually9.1%vs Smolder16.0%+6.9 pts
Best Kalista Build vs Smolder
Usual Kalista build (Bot)
59.6% win rate · 879 games
Against Smolder
50.0% win rate · 22 games
Limited sample: 22 of 64 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Kalista usually completes Statikk Shiv first, at 10.9 min (median of 72 games).
- Smolder usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 11.3 min (median of 71 games).
- Skill priority: E > Q > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Kalista Runes vs Smolder
Usual Kalista runes (Bot)
Lethal Tempo
55.6% win rate · 153 games
Against Smolder
Lethal Tempo42.6% win rate · 54 games
Plan your Kalista draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Kalista matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.22. The table below shows Kalista's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Kalista build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Kalista Matchups
Hardest for Kalista
Easiest for Kalista
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Kalista vs Smolder FAQ - Patch 26.21–26.22
Who wins Kalista vs Smolder?
Smolder is favored in this matchup: Kalista wins 36.6% of 164 games, and the whole 95% range (29.6–44.2%) is on the same side of 50%.
What is Kalista's win rate against Smolder?
Kalista wins 36.6% of 164 Bot games against Smolder on patch 26.21–26.22 (95% range 29.6–44.2%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 48.3% would be expected.
Does Kalista counter Smolder?
No — it is the other way around: Kalista wins only 36.6% of 164 games against Smolder, and the whole 95% range is below 50%.
Who wins lane, Kalista or Smolder?
Kalista usually wins the lane: 709 gold ahead of Smolder at 15 minutes on average (75 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Kalista outscale Smolder?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Smolder strongest against Kalista?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Smolder is ahead of Kalista beyond the margin of error.
What should Kalista build against Smolder?
The most successful Kalista core against Smolder is Jak'Sho, The Protean, Terminus, Guinsoo's Rageblade (50.0% over 22 games). The biggest change against Smolder: Blade of The Ruined King (9.1% usually, 16.0% here).
What runes should Kalista use against Smolder?
Lethal Tempo with Precision and Domination — 42.6% over 54 games against Smolder. The biggest change against Smolder: Flash + Barrier (53.0% usually, 65.3% here).