Falchion Case The Falchion Collection
- Skins
- 16
- Covert
- 2
- Rare Special Item
- Falchion Knife
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
The Falchion Case holds 16 skins plus a rare special item (Falchion Knife). Its Covert skins are AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge, AWP | Hyper Beast. Below you'll find every item with its exact drop chance from Valve's published odds and a simulator to open it for free.
Falchion Case contents
All 16 skins, highest rarity first. Each item's chance is its rarity's published odds split evenly across the items in that rarity.
★ Rare Special Item
0.26%
★ Falchion Knife
1 in about 385 opens (0.26%) gives a rare special item. In this case that's this knife, in any of its finishes:
- ★ Falchion Knife
Classified
3 items · 3.2% total
Restricted
5 items · 15.98% total
Case opening simulator
Open the Falchion Case as often as you like and compare your results with Valve's odds. Single opens play the reel; ×10 rolls ten at once.
Simulation only. Nothing here is real: no keys, no items, no money. Every roll uses Valve's published odds and an even split within each rarity.
Your results vs expected
| Rarity | You got | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Rare Special Item | 0 | 0 |
| Covert | 0 | 0 |
| Classified | 0 | 0 |
| Restricted | 0 | 0 |
| Mil-Spec Grade | 0 | 0 |
Session history
Open a case to start your session.
Falchion Case drop odds
Valve's published odds by rarity, with the number of Falchion Case items in each rarity and the resulting chance per item. A specific Covert skin is 0.32% per open, and any single Mil-Spec skin is 13.32%.
| Rarity | Chance | About 1 in | Items | Per item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Special Item | 0.26% | 385 | 1 | 0.26% |
| Covert | 0.64% | 156 | 2 | 0.32% |
| Classified | 3.2% | 31 | 3 | 1.07% |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 6 | 5 | 3.2% |
| Mil-Spec Grade | 79.92% | 1 | 6 | 13.32% |
Source: the odds Valve publishes for CS2 weapon cases. Inside a rarity, every item is equally likely. Any weapon (and any knife) also has a 10% chance to be StatTrak™. Gloves are never StatTrak™.
The Falchion Case (The Falchion Collection) contains 16 skins: 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 5 Restricted and 6 Mil-Spec. With Valve's published odds, each Covert skin (AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge, AWP | Hyper Beast) drops 0.32% of the time, and a StatTrak™ Covert is about 0.064% per open. Its rare special item is the Falchion Knife pool (Falchion Knife) at 0.26% per open, roughly 1 in 385.
Get the Winning Edge
Real-time overlays, automatic match tracking, and exclusive tools — everything you need to climb, free on your PC.
- In-game overlays
- Automatic match tracking
- Desktop-exclusive tools
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Falchion Case FAQ
What's in the Falchion Case?
The Falchion Case contains 16 skins: 2 Covert (AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge, AWP | Hyper Beast), 3 Classified, 5 Restricted and 6 Mil-Spec, plus a rare special item (Falchion Knife).
What are the Falchion Case odds?
Valve's published odds apply: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and rare special 0.26%. Split across this case's items, each Covert skin is 0.32% per open and each Mil-Spec skin is 13.32%.
What knife or gloves can drop from the Falchion Case?
The Falchion Case's rare special item is a knife: Falchion Knife. It drops 0.26% of the time, about once every 385 opens, and can be StatTrak™.
Can the Falchion Case drop StatTrak™ items?
Yes. Every weapon and knife from the Falchion Case has a 10% chance to be StatTrak™, so a StatTrak™ Covert is about 0.064% per open.
Can I open the Falchion Case for free?
You can simulate it for free on this page. The simulator uses Valve's published odds and opens nothing real: no keys, no items, no money. In-game, opening a case needs its matching key.