Operation Wildfire Case The Wildfire Collection
- Skins
- 16
- Covert
- 2
- Rare Special Item
- Bowie Knife
- Released
- 2016
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
The Operation Wildfire Case holds 16 skins plus a rare special item (Bowie Knife). Its Covert skins are AK-47 | Fuel Injector, M4A4 | The Battlestar. Below you'll find every item with its exact drop chance from Valve's published odds and a simulator to open it for free.
Operation Wildfire Case contents
All 16 skins, highest rarity first. Each item's chance is its rarity's published odds split evenly across the items in that rarity.
★ Rare Special Item
0.26%
★ Bowie Knife
1 in about 385 opens (0.26%) gives a rare special item. In this case that's this knife, in any of its finishes:
- ★ Bowie Knife
Classified
3 items · 3.2% total
Restricted
5 items · 15.98% total
Case opening simulator
Open the Operation Wildfire Case as often as you like and compare your results with Valve's odds. Single opens play the reel; ×10 rolls ten at once.
Simulation only. Nothing here is real: no keys, no items, no money. Every roll uses Valve's published odds and an even split within each rarity.
Your results vs expected
| Rarity | You got | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| Rare Special Item | 0 | 0 |
| Covert | 0 | 0 |
| Classified | 0 | 0 |
| Restricted | 0 | 0 |
| Mil-Spec Grade | 0 | 0 |
Session history
Open a case to start your session.
Operation Wildfire Case drop odds
Valve's published odds by rarity, with the number of Operation Wildfire Case items in each rarity and the resulting chance per item. A specific Covert skin is 0.32% per open, and any single Mil-Spec skin is 13.32%.
| Rarity | Chance | About 1 in | Items | Per item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Special Item | 0.26% | 385 | 1 | 0.26% |
| Covert | 0.64% | 156 | 2 | 0.32% |
| Classified | 3.2% | 31 | 3 | 1.07% |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 6 | 5 | 3.2% |
| Mil-Spec Grade | 79.92% | 1 | 6 | 13.32% |
Source: the odds Valve publishes for CS2 weapon cases. Inside a rarity, every item is equally likely. Any weapon (and any knife) also has a 10% chance to be StatTrak™. Gloves are never StatTrak™.
The Operation Wildfire Case (The Wildfire Collection) contains 16 skins: 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 5 Restricted and 6 Mil-Spec. With Valve's published odds, each Covert skin (AK-47 | Fuel Injector, M4A4 | The Battlestar) drops 0.32% of the time, and a StatTrak™ Covert is about 0.064% per open. Its rare special item is the Bowie Knife pool (Bowie Knife) at 0.26% per open, roughly 1 in 385.
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Operation Wildfire Case FAQ
What's in the Operation Wildfire Case?
The Operation Wildfire Case contains 16 skins: 2 Covert (AK-47 | Fuel Injector, M4A4 | The Battlestar), 3 Classified, 5 Restricted and 6 Mil-Spec, plus a rare special item (Bowie Knife).
What are the Operation Wildfire Case odds?
Valve's published odds apply: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and rare special 0.26%. Split across this case's items, each Covert skin is 0.32% per open and each Mil-Spec skin is 13.32%.
What knife or gloves can drop from the Operation Wildfire Case?
The Operation Wildfire Case's rare special item is a knife: Bowie Knife. It drops 0.26% of the time, about once every 385 opens, and can be StatTrak™.
Can the Operation Wildfire Case drop StatTrak™ items?
Yes. Every weapon and knife from the Operation Wildfire Case has a 10% chance to be StatTrak™, so a StatTrak™ Covert is about 0.064% per open.
Can I open the Operation Wildfire Case for free?
You can simulate it for free on this page. The simulator uses Valve's published odds and opens nothing real: no keys, no items, no money. In-game, opening a case needs its matching key.