Lucian, League of Legends champion
Win Rate
45.9%
Pick Rate
2.9%
Ban Rate
1.3%

Lucianvs Sivir

Lucian F TierMarksmanAssassin
Patch26.19
Games2,650
LaneAll Lanes
TierAll Tiers
Last UpdatedOct 2, 2026 UTC
MethodologyData Methodology

Lucian vs Sivir is a moderate matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Lucian wins with a 52.1% win rate (+4.2%) over Sivir based on 48 games. Lucian holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Lucian vs Sivir matchup.

Lucian Matchup Breakdown

Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Lucian performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.

Compare against an opponent
Lucian
Lucian
45.7%
VS
Sivir
54.3%
Sivir

Who wins Lucian vs Sivir?

Slight Sivir edgeLow confidence

Lucian wins 45.7% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 36.0% and 55.8% (95% range).

Expected
46.7%
From both champions' overall Bot win rates
Matchup effect
−1.0 pts
Observed minus expected
Sample
94 games
Lane: Bot
vs patch 26.18
+9.7 pts
Within normal patch-to-patch noise

Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28

Key takeaways

  • Current data slightly favors Sivir, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 45.7% of 94 games (95% range 36.0–55.8%).
  • Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 46.7% for Lucian; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
  • Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 182, within the margin of error (93 games).
  • Lucian players pick Blade of The Ruined King far more often against Sivir: 1.8% of their other Bot games, 8.5% here.
How we calculate this

Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.

A game only counts when Lucian and Sivir played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.

The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.

Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.

"What changes" compares Lucian's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).

Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.

Lucian vs Sivir Laning Stats

LucianSivir

At 15 minutes

Gold difference
+182
Within the margin of error
95% range −131 to +495
XP difference
+116
Within the margin of error
95% range −67 to +299
CS difference
+0.8
Within the margin of error
95% range −4.4 to +5.9
3.22
Kills before 15 min
1.98
2.26
Deaths before 15 min
2.66
0.21
Solo kills before 15 min
0.06
22.3%
First blood
5.3%

Whole-game averages

7.0
CS / min
7.5
916
DMG / min
843
14,732
Gold / game
14,918
239
Heal / min
174
509
DMG Mitigated / min
433
0.1
CC / min
0.0

Lucian vs Sivir Win Rate by Game Length

Lucian's win rate against Sivir by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.

Too few games
Under 20 min
9 games
Too few games
20–25 min
6 games
Too few games
25–30 min
22 games
46.7%
30–35 min
30 games
37.0%
35+ min
27 games
Lucian vs Sivir95% rangeLucian usual (Bot)

No game length stands out: Lucian's results against Sivir in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.

Lucian vs Sivir Power Spikes

Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.

  1. Lane (15 min)EvenLucian gold at 15: +182
  2. First itemEvenLucian: 11.5 min · Sivir: 11.8 min
  3. Games under 20 minInsufficient data
  4. 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
  5. 30+ min gamesEvenLucian wins 42.1% of 57 games

What Lucian Changes Against Sivir

Choices Lucian players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.

Best Lucian Build vs Sivir

Usual Lucian build (Bot)

59.3% win rate · 91 games

Against Sivir

Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 10 of 74 Lucian games against Sivir carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Lucian's standard build instead.

  • Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 11.5 min (median of 66 games).
  • Sivir usually completes Yun Tal Wildarrows first, at 11.8 min (median of 41 games).
  • Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.

Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.

Best Lucian Runes vs Sivir

Usual Lucian runes (Bot)

Press the AttackPress the Attack
Precision
Presence of MindLegend: AlacrityCut Down
Inspiration
Cash BackTriple Tonic
Attack Speed (offense)Adaptive Force (flex)Health (defense)

71.4% win rate · 21 games

Against Sivir

Press the AttackPress the Attack
Precision
Presence of MindLegend: BloodlineCoup de Grace
Inspiration
Biscuit DeliveryMagical Footwear
Attack Speed (offense)Adaptive Force (flex)Health Scaling (defense)

47.5% win rate · 40 games

MetaBot Desktop

Plan your Lucian draft in Draft Lab

Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.

  • Full 5v5 draft board
  • Lane matchup win rates
  • Pick and ban suggestions
Draft Lab in MetaBot Desktop

Lucian matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Lucian's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.

Other Lucian Matchups

Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.

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Lucian vs Sivir FAQ - Patch 26.19

Who wins Lucian vs Sivir?

Current data slightly favors Sivir, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 45.7% of 94 games (95% range 36.0–55.8%).

What is Lucian's win rate against Sivir?

Lucian wins 45.7% of 94 Bot games against Sivir on patch 26.19 (95% range 36.0–55.8%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 46.7% would be expected.

Does Lucian counter Sivir?

Not clearly. Lucian wins 45.7% of 94 games against Sivir, and the 95% range (36.0–55.8%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.

Who wins lane, Lucian or Sivir?

Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 182, within the margin of error (93 games).

Does Lucian outscale Sivir?

There are too few games of each length to tell yet.

When is Sivir strongest against Lucian?

On current data there is no stage of the game where Sivir is ahead of Lucian beyond the margin of error.

What should Lucian build against Sivir?

There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Lucian's usual Bot core: Navori Flickerblade, Essence Reaver, Maw of Malmortius. The biggest change against Sivir: Blade of The Ruined King (1.8% usually, 8.5% here).

What runes should Lucian use against Sivir?

Press the Attack with Precision and Inspiration — 47.5% over 40 games against Sivir.