Lucian - League of Legends Champion
Win Rate
45.9%
Pick Rate
2.9%
Ban Rate
1.3%

Lucianvs Kai'Sa

Lucian F TierMarksmanAssassin
Patch26.19
Games2,650
LaneAll Lanes
TierAll Tiers
Last UpdatedOct 1, 2026 UTC
MethodologyData Methodology

Lucian vs Kai'Sa is a very close matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Kai'Sa wins with a 50.3% win rate (+0.6%) over Lucian based on 171 games. Kai'Sa wins the early laning phase while Lucian scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Lucian vs Kai'Sa matchup.

Lucian Matchup Breakdown

Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Lucian performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.

Compare against an opponent
Lucian
Lucian
48.1%
VS
Kai'Sa
51.9%
Kai'Sa

Who wins Lucian vs Kai'Sa?

Slight Kai'Sa edgeModerate confidence

Lucian wins 48.1% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 43.2% and 53.2% (95% range).

Expected
46.0%
From both champions' overall Bot win rates
Matchup effect
+2.2 pts
Observed minus expected
Sample
378 games
Lane: Bot
vs patch 26.18
−4.0 pts
Within normal patch-to-patch noise

Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28

They also met in another lane (Mid): 4 games, Lucian won 50.0%.

Key takeaways

  • Current data slightly favors Kai'Sa, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 48.1% of 378 games (95% range 43.2–53.2%).
  • Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 46.0% for Lucian; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
  • Lucian usually wins the lane: 222 gold ahead of Kai'Sa at 15 minutes on average (373 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
  • Lucian players pick Lord Dominik's Regards far more often against Kai'Sa: 29.7% of their other Bot games, 35.2% here.
How we calculate this

Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.

A game only counts when Lucian and Kai'Sa played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.

The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.

Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.

"What changes" compares Lucian's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).

Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.

Lucian vs Kai'Sa Laning Stats

LucianKai'Sa

At 15 minutes

Gold difference
+222
Lucian ahead
95% range +62 to +382
XP difference
+141
Lucian ahead
95% range +47 to +235
CS difference
+3.5
Lucian ahead
95% range +1.1 to +5.9
3.69
Kills before 15 min
3.18
2.77
Deaths before 15 min
3.01
0.19
Solo kills before 15 min
0.18
14.0%
First blood
13.8%

Whole-game averages

7.0
CS / min
6.9
910
DMG / min
897
14,039
Gold / game
14,383
195
Heal / min
162
464
DMG Mitigated / min
524
0.1
CC / min
0.1

Lucian vs Kai'Sa Win Rate by Game Length

Lucian's win rate against Kai'Sa by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.

44.8%
Under 20 min
29 games
51.9%
20–25 min
54 games
45.6%
25–30 min
114 games
49.1%
30–35 min
108 games
49.3%
35+ min
73 games
Lucian vs Kai'Sa95% rangeLucian usual (Bot)

No game length stands out: Lucian's results against Kai'Sa in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.

Lucian vs Kai'Sa Power Spikes

Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.

  1. Lane (15 min)LucianLucian gold at 15: +222
  2. First itemLucianLucian: 10.8 min · Kai'Sa: 11.3 min
  3. Games under 20 minInsufficient data
  4. 20–30 min gamesEvenLucian wins 47.6% of 168 games
  5. 30+ min gamesEvenLucian wins 49.2% of 181 games

What Lucian Changes Against Kai'Sa

Choices Lucian players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.

Best Lucian Build vs Kai'Sa

Usual Lucian build (Bot)

59.3% win rate · 91 games

Against Kai'Sa

Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 10 of 283 Lucian games against Kai'Sa carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Lucian's standard build instead.

  • Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 10.8 min (median of 292 games).
  • Kai'Sa usually completes Kraken Slayer first, at 11.3 min (median of 232 games).
  • Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.

Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.

Best Lucian Runes vs Kai'Sa

Usual Lucian runes (Bot)

Press the AttackPress the Attack
Precision
Presence of MindLegend: AlacrityCut Down
Inspiration
Cash BackTriple Tonic
Attack Speed (offense)Adaptive Force (flex)Health (defense)

71.4% win rate · 21 games

Against Kai'Sa

Press the AttackPress the Attack
Precision
Presence of MindLegend: BloodlineCoup de Grace
Inspiration
Biscuit DeliveryMagical Footwear
Attack Speed (offense)Adaptive Force (flex)Health Scaling (defense)

51.6% win rate · 159 games

MetaBot Desktop

Plan your Lucian draft in Draft Lab

Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.

  • Full 5v5 draft board
  • Lane matchup win rates
  • Pick and ban suggestions
Draft Lab in MetaBot Desktop

Lucian matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Lucian's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.

Other Lucian Matchups

Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.

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Lucian vs Kai'Sa FAQ - Patch 26.19

Who wins Lucian vs Kai'Sa?

Current data slightly favors Kai'Sa, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 48.1% of 378 games (95% range 43.2–53.2%).

What is Lucian's win rate against Kai'Sa?

Lucian wins 48.1% of 378 Bot games against Kai'Sa on patch 26.19 (95% range 43.2–53.2%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 46.0% would be expected.

Does Lucian counter Kai'Sa?

Not clearly. Lucian wins 48.1% of 378 games against Kai'Sa, and the 95% range (43.2–53.2%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.

Who wins lane, Lucian or Kai'Sa?

Lucian usually wins the lane: 222 gold ahead of Kai'Sa at 15 minutes on average (373 games with a 15-minute snapshot).

Does Lucian outscale Kai'Sa?

Not measurably: Lucian's win rate against Kai'Sa in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.

When is Kai'Sa strongest against Lucian?

On current data there is no stage of the game where Kai'Sa is ahead of Lucian beyond the margin of error.

What should Lucian build against Kai'Sa?

There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Lucian's usual Bot core: Navori Flickerblade, Essence Reaver, Maw of Malmortius. The biggest change against Kai'Sa: Lord Dominik's Regards (29.7% usually, 35.2% here).

What runes should Lucian use against Kai'Sa?

Press the Attack with Precision and Inspiration — 51.6% over 159 games against Kai'Sa.