Lucianvs Kog'Maw
Lucian vs Kog'Maw is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Kog'Maw wins with a 63.6% win rate (+27.3%) over Lucian based on 22 games. Kog'Maw holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Lucian vs Kog'Maw matchup.
Lucian Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Lucian performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Lucian vs Kog'Maw?
Lucian wins 33.3% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 22.0% and 47.0% (95% range).
- Expected
- 40.9% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −7.5 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 51 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.18
- −12.4 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28
Key takeaways
- Kog'Maw is favored in this matchup: Lucian wins 33.3% of 51 games, and the whole 95% range (22.0–47.0%) is on the same side of 50%.
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 40.9% for Lucian; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 511, within the margin of error (49 games).
- Lucian players pick Inspiration far more often against Kog'Maw: 73.8% of their other Bot games, 86.3% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Lucian and Kog'Maw played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Lucian's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Lucian vs Kog'Maw Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Lucian vs Kog'Maw Win Rate by Game Length
Lucian's win rate against Kog'Maw by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Lucian's results against Kog'Maw in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Lucian vs Kog'Maw Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenLucian gold at 15: −511
- First itemInsufficient data
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Lucian Changes Against Kog'Maw
Choices Lucian players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
InspirationSecondary treeUsually73.8%vs Kog'Maw86.3%+12.4 pts31.8% WR here
Serpent's FangItemUsually1.3%vs Kog'Maw5.9%+4.6 pts
Usually0.5%vs Kog'Maw3.9%+3.4 pts
Best Lucian Build vs Kog'Maw
Usual Lucian build (Bot)
59.3% win rate · 91 games
Against Kog'Maw
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 8 of 36 Lucian games against Kog'Maw carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Lucian's standard build instead.
- Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 10.6 min (median of 41 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Lucian Runes vs Kog'Maw
Usual Lucian runes (Bot)
Press the Attack
71.4% win rate · 21 games
Against Kog'Maw
Press the Attack
26.9% win rate · 26 games
Plan your Lucian draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Lucian matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Lucian's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Lucian Matchups
Hardest for Lucian
Easiest for Lucian
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Lucian vs Kog'Maw FAQ - Patch 26.19
Who wins Lucian vs Kog'Maw?
Kog'Maw is favored in this matchup: Lucian wins 33.3% of 51 games, and the whole 95% range (22.0–47.0%) is on the same side of 50%.
What is Lucian's win rate against Kog'Maw?
Lucian wins 33.3% of 51 Bot games against Kog'Maw on patch 26.19 (95% range 22.0–47.0%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 40.9% would be expected.
Does Lucian counter Kog'Maw?
No — it is the other way around: Lucian wins only 33.3% of 51 games against Kog'Maw, and the whole 95% range is below 50%.
Who wins lane, Lucian or Kog'Maw?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 511, within the margin of error (49 games).
Does Lucian outscale Kog'Maw?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Kog'Maw strongest against Lucian?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Kog'Maw is ahead of Lucian beyond the margin of error.
What should Lucian build against Kog'Maw?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Lucian's usual Bot core: Navori Flickerblade, Essence Reaver, Maw of Malmortius. The biggest change against Kog'Maw: Serpent's Fang (1.3% usually, 5.9% here).
What runes should Lucian use against Kog'Maw?
Press the Attack with Precision and Inspiration — 26.9% over 26 games against Kog'Maw. The biggest change against Kog'Maw: Inspiration (73.8% usually, 86.3% here).