Nocturnevs Lillia
Nocturne vs Lillia is a moderate matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Lillia wins with a 51.4% win rate (+2.8%) over Nocturne based on 72 games. Lillia wins the early laning phase while Nocturne scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Nocturne build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Nocturne vs Lillia matchup.
Nocturne Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Nocturne performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Nocturne vs Lillia?
Nocturne wins 51.6% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 42.9% and 60.2% (95% range).
- Expected
- 49.3% From both champions' overall Jungle win rates
- Matchup effect
- +2.3 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 124 games Lane: Jungle
- vs patch 26.18
- +5.9 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Jungle · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Nocturne, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Nocturne wins 51.6% of 124 games (95% range 42.9–60.2%).
- Both champions' overall Jungle win rates predict 49.3% for Nocturne; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 35, within the margin of error (120 games).
- Nocturne players pick Plated Steelcaps much less often against Lillia: 38.5% of their other Jungle games, 22.6% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Nocturne and Lillia played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Nocturne's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Nocturne vs Lillia Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Nocturne vs Lillia Win Rate by Game Length
Nocturne's win rate against Lillia by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Nocturne's results against Lillia in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Nocturne vs Lillia Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenNocturne gold at 15: −35
- First itemEvenNocturne: 0.2 min · Lillia: 0.2 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenNocturne wins 46.3% of 41 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenNocturne wins 57.4% of 68 games
What Nocturne Changes Against Lillia
Choices Nocturne players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Jungle games.
Plated SteelcapsBootsUsually38.5%vs Lillia22.6%−15.9 pts57.1% WR here
Sudden ImpactRuneUsually53.2%vs Lillia66.1%+12.9 pts48.8% WR here
Usually50.3%vs Lillia37.9%−12.4 pts57.4% WR here
Mercury's TreadsBootsUsually24.1%vs Lillia35.5%+11.4 pts52.3% WR here
Black CleaverItemUsually20.4%vs Lillia9.7%−10.7 pts
Last StandRuneUsually41.2%vs Lillia30.6%−10.6 pts57.9% WR here
Hail of BladesKeystoneUsually47.1%vs Lillia56.5%+9.3 pts51.4% WR here
Lethal TempoKeystoneUsually22.5%vs Lillia14.5%−7.9 pts
Best Nocturne Build vs Lillia
Usual Nocturne build (Jungle)
80.8% win rate · 26 games
Against Lillia
53.8% win rate · 26 games
Limited sample: 26 of 75 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Nocturne usually completes Scorchclaw Pup first, at 0.2 min (median of 99 games).
- Lillia usually completes Gustwalker Hatchling first, at 0.2 min (median of 80 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Nocturne Runes vs Lillia
Usual Nocturne runes (Jungle)
Lethal Tempo
51.7% win rate · 931 games
Against Lillia
Conqueror63.6% win rate · 22 games
Plan your Nocturne draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Nocturne matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Nocturne's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Nocturne build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Nocturne Matchups
Hardest for Nocturne
Easiest for Nocturne
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Nocturne vs Lillia FAQ - Patch 26.19
Who wins Nocturne vs Lillia?
Current data slightly favors Nocturne, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Nocturne wins 51.6% of 124 games (95% range 42.9–60.2%).
What is Nocturne's win rate against Lillia?
Nocturne wins 51.6% of 124 Jungle games against Lillia on patch 26.19 (95% range 42.9–60.2%). Based on both champions' overall Jungle win rates, 49.3% would be expected.
Does Nocturne counter Lillia?
Not clearly. Nocturne wins 51.6% of 124 games against Lillia, and the 95% range (42.9–60.2%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Nocturne or Lillia?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 35, within the margin of error (120 games).
Does Nocturne outscale Lillia?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Lillia strongest against Nocturne?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Lillia is ahead of Nocturne beyond the margin of error.
What should Nocturne build against Lillia?
The most successful Nocturne core against Lillia is Voltaic Cyclosword, Profane Hydra, Axiom Arc (53.8% over 26 games). The biggest change against Lillia: Plated Steelcaps (38.5% usually, 22.6% here).
What runes should Nocturne use against Lillia?
Conqueror with Precision and Domination — 63.6% over 22 games against Lillia. The biggest change against Lillia: Sudden Impact (53.2% usually, 66.1% here).