Lilliavs Nocturne
Lillia vs Nocturne is a moderate matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Lillia wins with a 51.4% win rate (+2.8%) over Nocturne based on 72 games. Lillia holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Lillia build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Lillia vs Nocturne matchup.
Lillia Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Lillia performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Lillia vs Nocturne?
Lillia wins 48.4% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 39.8% and 57.1% (95% range).
- Expected
- 50.7% From both champions' overall Jungle win rates
- Matchup effect
- −2.3 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 124 games Lane: Jungle
- vs patch 26.18
- −5.9 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Jungle · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Nocturne, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lillia wins 48.4% of 124 games (95% range 39.8–57.1%).
- Both champions' overall Jungle win rates predict 50.7% for Lillia; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 35, within the margin of error (120 games).
- Lillia players pick Tenacity and Slow Resist (defense) far more often against Nocturne: 3.8% of their other Jungle games, 8.1% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Lillia and Nocturne played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Lillia's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Lillia vs Nocturne Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Lillia vs Nocturne Win Rate by Game Length
Lillia's win rate against Nocturne by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Lillia's results against Nocturne in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Lillia vs Nocturne Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenLillia gold at 15: +35
- First itemEvenLillia: 0.2 min · Nocturne: 0.2 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenLillia wins 53.7% of 41 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenLillia wins 42.6% of 68 games
What Lillia Changes Against Nocturne
Choices Lillia players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Jungle games.
Tenacity and Slow Resist (defense)Stat shardUsually3.8%vs Nocturne8.1%+4.2 pts
Best Lillia Build vs Nocturne
Usual Lillia build (Jungle)
90.0% win rate · 50 games
Against Nocturne
51.6% win rate · 31 games
Limited sample: 31 of 78 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Lillia usually completes Gustwalker Hatchling first, at 0.2 min (median of 80 games).
- Nocturne usually completes Scorchclaw Pup first, at 0.2 min (median of 99 games).
- Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Lillia Runes vs Nocturne
Usual Lillia runes (Jungle)
Conqueror
60.8% win rate · 79 games
Against Nocturne
Conqueror
52.6% win rate · 38 games
Plan your Lillia draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Lillia matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Lillia's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Lillia build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Lillia Matchups
Hardest for Lillia
Easiest for Lillia
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Lillia vs Nocturne FAQ - Patch 26.19
Who wins Lillia vs Nocturne?
Current data slightly favors Nocturne, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lillia wins 48.4% of 124 games (95% range 39.8–57.1%).
What is Lillia's win rate against Nocturne?
Lillia wins 48.4% of 124 Jungle games against Nocturne on patch 26.19 (95% range 39.8–57.1%). Based on both champions' overall Jungle win rates, 50.7% would be expected.
Does Lillia counter Nocturne?
Not clearly. Lillia wins 48.4% of 124 games against Nocturne, and the 95% range (39.8–57.1%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Lillia or Nocturne?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 35, within the margin of error (120 games).
Does Lillia outscale Nocturne?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Nocturne strongest against Lillia?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Nocturne is ahead of Lillia beyond the margin of error.
What should Lillia build against Nocturne?
The most successful Lillia core against Nocturne is Liandry's Torment, Riftmaker, Zhonya's Hourglass (51.6% over 31 games).
What runes should Lillia use against Nocturne?
Conqueror with Precision and Inspiration — 52.6% over 38 games against Nocturne. The biggest change against Nocturne: Tenacity and Slow Resist (defense) (3.8% usually, 8.1% here).