- Win Rate
- 49.3%
- Pick Rate
- 2.5%
- Ban Rate
- 9.3%
Nocturne vs Warwick
- Patch
- 26.22
- Games
- 4,795
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Nov 14, 2026 UTC
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
Nocturne vs Warwick (Jungle): Nocturne wins 44.1% of 363 ranked games over the last 2 patches (gold diff at 15: -56). Patch 26.22 build & runes.
Nocturne44.1%
Warwick is favored in this matchup: Nocturne wins 44.1% of 363 games, and the whole 95% range (39.1–49.2%) is on the same side of 50%.
Nocturne Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Nocturne performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Nocturne vs Warwick?
Nocturne wins 44.1% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 39.1% and 49.2% (95% range).
- Expected
- 47.9% From both champions' overall Jungle win rates
- Matchup effect
- −3.8 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 363 games Lane: Jungle · Patch 26.21–26.22
- vs patch 26.21
- +3.8 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Jungle · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.21–26.22 · Oct 27 – Nov 13
The headline win rate covers patches 26.21–26.22 (363 games). The lane, game-length, build and rune sections below use patch 26.22 only (118 games).
Key takeaways
- Warwick is favored in this matchup: Nocturne wins 44.1% of 363 games, and the whole 95% range (39.1–49.2%) is on the same side of 50%.
- Both champions' overall Jungle win rates predict 47.9% for Nocturne; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 56, within the margin of error (118 games).
- Nocturne players pick Mortal Reminder far more often against Warwick: 1.9% of their other Jungle games, 10.2% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Nocturne and Warwick played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Nocturne's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Nocturne vs Warwick Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Nocturne vs Warwick Win Rate by Game Length
Nocturne's win rate against Warwick by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Nocturne's results against Warwick in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Nocturne vs Warwick Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenNocturne gold at 15: −56
- First itemEvenNocturne: 0.2 min · Warwick: 0.2 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenNocturne wins 52.3% of 44 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenNocturne wins 39.7% of 68 games
What Nocturne Changes Against Warwick
Choices Nocturne players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Jungle games.
Mortal ReminderItemUsually1.9%vs Warwick10.2%+8.3 pts
Flash + SmiteSummoner spellsUsually98.0%vs Warwick94.9%−3.1 pts45.5% WR here
Best Nocturne Build vs Warwick
Usual Nocturne build (Jungle)
83.3% win rate · 12 games
Limited sample: 20 of 83 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Nocturne usually completes Scorchclaw Pup first, at 0.2 min (median of 94 games).
- Warwick usually completes Gustwalker Hatchling first, at 0.2 min (median of 71 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Nocturne Runes vs Warwick
Usual Nocturne runes (Jungle)
Hail of Blades
49.2% win rate · 1,397 games
Against Warwick
Hail of Blades48.9% win rate · 45 games
Plan your Nocturne draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Nocturne matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.22. The table below shows Nocturne's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Nocturne build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Nocturne Matchups
Hardest for Nocturne
Easiest for Nocturne
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Nocturne vs Warwick FAQ - Patch 26.21–26.22
Who wins Nocturne vs Warwick?
Warwick is favored in this matchup: Nocturne wins 44.1% of 363 games, and the whole 95% range (39.1–49.2%) is on the same side of 50%.
What is Nocturne's win rate against Warwick?
Nocturne wins 44.1% of 363 Jungle games against Warwick on patch 26.21–26.22 (95% range 39.1–49.2%). Based on both champions' overall Jungle win rates, 47.9% would be expected.
Does Nocturne counter Warwick?
No — it is the other way around: Nocturne wins only 44.1% of 363 games against Warwick, and the whole 95% range is below 50%.
Who wins lane, Nocturne or Warwick?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 56, within the margin of error (118 games).
Does Nocturne outscale Warwick?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Warwick strongest against Nocturne?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Warwick is ahead of Nocturne beyond the margin of error.
What should Nocturne build against Warwick?
The most successful Nocturne core against Warwick is Voltaic Cyclosword, Profane Hydra, Axiom Arc (55.0% over 20 games). The biggest change against Warwick: Mortal Reminder (1.9% usually, 10.2% here).
What runes should Nocturne use against Warwick?
Hail of Blades with Domination and Precision — 48.9% over 45 games against Warwick. The biggest change against Warwick: Flash + Smite (98.0% usually, 94.9% here).