Sivir - League of Legends Champion
Win Rate
49.8%
Pick Rate
1.9%
Ban Rate
1.1%

Sivirvs Caitlyn

Sivir C TierMarksman
Patch26.19
Games1,693
LaneAll Lanes
TierAll Tiers
Last UpdatedOct 1, 2026 UTC
MethodologyData Methodology

Sivir vs Caitlyn is a moderate matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Sivir wins with a 51.9% win rate (+3.7%) over Caitlyn based on 189 games. Caitlyn wins the early laning phase while Sivir scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Sivir build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Sivir vs Caitlyn matchup.

Sivir Matchup Breakdown

Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Sivir performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.

Compare against an opponent
Sivir
Sivir
49.9%
VS
Caitlyn
50.1%
Caitlyn

Who wins Sivir vs Caitlyn?

Even matchupHigh confidence

Sivir wins 49.9% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 45.1% and 54.7% (95% range).

Expected
49.2%
From both champions' overall Bot win rates
Matchup effect
+0.6 pts
Observed minus expected
Sample
415 games
Lane: Bot
vs patch 26.18
−0.5 pts
Within normal patch-to-patch noise

Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28

Key takeaways

  • Sivir vs Caitlyn is an even matchup: Sivir wins 49.9% of 415 games, and the 95% range (45.1–54.7%) comfortably includes 50%.
  • Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 49.2% for Sivir; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
  • Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 59, within the margin of error (405 games).
  • Sivir players pick Inspiration much less often against Caitlyn: 49.4% of their other Bot games, 42.7% here.
How we calculate this

Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.

A game only counts when Sivir and Caitlyn played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.

The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.

Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.

"What changes" compares Sivir's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).

Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.

Sivir vs Caitlyn Laning Stats

SivirCaitlyn

At 15 minutes

Gold difference
−59
Within the margin of error
95% range −211 to +94
XP difference
+13
Within the margin of error
95% range −74 to +101
CS difference
+0.1
Within the margin of error
95% range −2.3 to +2.4
2.14
Kills before 15 min
2.67
2.29
Deaths before 15 min
2.35
0.12
Solo kills before 15 min
0.16
12.3%
First blood
14.9%

Whole-game averages

7.6
CS / min
7.1
855
DMG / min
849
14,463
Gold / game
14,048
178
Heal / min
191
406
DMG Mitigated / min
419
0.0
CC / min
0.6

Sivir vs Caitlyn Win Rate by Game Length

Sivir's win rate against Caitlyn by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.

52.5%
Under 20 min
40 games
46.5%
20–25 min
43 games
52.5%
25–30 min
122 games
51.4%
30–35 min
109 games
45.5%
35+ min
101 games
Sivir vs Caitlyn95% rangeSivir usual (Bot)

No game length stands out: Sivir's results against Caitlyn in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.

Sivir vs Caitlyn Power Spikes

Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.

  1. Lane (15 min)EvenSivir gold at 15: −59
  2. First itemCaitlynSivir: 12.2 min · Caitlyn: 11.3 min
  3. Games under 20 minEvenSivir wins 52.5% of 40 games
  4. 20–30 min gamesEvenSivir wins 50.9% of 165 games
  5. 30+ min gamesEvenSivir wins 48.6% of 210 games

What Sivir Changes Against Caitlyn

Choices Sivir players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.

  • Inspiration
    InspirationSecondary tree
    Usually
    49.4%
    vs Caitlyn
    42.7%
    −6.7 pts55.4% WR here
  • Sorcery
    SorcerySecondary tree
    Usually
    47.9%
    vs Caitlyn
    53.5%
    +5.6 pts45.5% WR here

Best Sivir Build vs Caitlyn

Limited sample: 24 of 310 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.

  • Sivir usually completes Yun Tal Wildarrows first, at 12.2 min (median of 192 games).
  • Caitlyn usually completes Hexoptics C44 first, at 11.3 min (median of 229 games).
  • Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.

Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.

Best Sivir Runes vs Caitlyn

Usual Sivir runes (Bot)

Lethal TempoLethal Tempo
Precision
Presence of MindLegend: AlacrityCut Down
Inspiration
Cash BackTriple Tonic
Attack Speed (offense)Adaptive Force (flex)Health (defense)

60.7% win rate · 56 games

Against Caitlyn

Lethal TempoLethal Tempo
Precision
Presence of MindLegend: BloodlineCut Down
Inspiration
Cash BackTriple Tonic
Attack Speed (offense)Adaptive Force (flex)Health (defense)

57.4% win rate · 115 games

MetaBot Desktop

Plan your Sivir draft in Draft Lab

Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.

  • Full 5v5 draft board
  • Lane matchup win rates
  • Pick and ban suggestions
Draft Lab in MetaBot Desktop

Sivir matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Sivir's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Sivir build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.

Other Sivir Matchups

Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.

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Sivir vs Caitlyn FAQ - Patch 26.19

Who wins Sivir vs Caitlyn?

Sivir vs Caitlyn is an even matchup: Sivir wins 49.9% of 415 games, and the 95% range (45.1–54.7%) comfortably includes 50%.

What is Sivir's win rate against Caitlyn?

Sivir wins 49.9% of 415 Bot games against Caitlyn on patch 26.19 (95% range 45.1–54.7%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 49.2% would be expected.

Does Sivir counter Caitlyn?

Not clearly. Sivir wins 49.9% of 415 games against Caitlyn, and the 95% range (45.1–54.7%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.

Who wins lane, Sivir or Caitlyn?

Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 59, within the margin of error (405 games).

Does Sivir outscale Caitlyn?

Not measurably: Sivir's win rate against Caitlyn in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.

When is Caitlyn strongest against Sivir?

Caitlyn is measurably ahead in: First item.

What should Sivir build against Caitlyn?

The most successful Sivir core against Caitlyn is Navori Flickerblade, Essence Reaver, Lord Dominik's Regards (62.5% over 24 games).

What runes should Sivir use against Caitlyn?

Lethal Tempo with Precision and Inspiration — 57.4% over 115 games against Caitlyn. The biggest change against Caitlyn: Inspiration (49.4% usually, 42.7% here).