- Win Rate
- 51.2%
- Pick Rate
- 3.5%
- Ban Rate
- 2.5%
Smolder vs Vayne
- Patch
- 26.20
- Games
- 6,980
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Oct 17, 2026 UTC
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
Smolder vs Vayne is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.20. Smolder wins with a 52.6% win rate (+5.2%) over Vayne based on 211 games. Smolder holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Smolder build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Smolder vs Vayne matchup.
Smolder Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Smolder performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Smolder vs Vayne?
Smolder wins 52.3% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 45.3% and 59.1% (95% range).
- Expected
- 52.1% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- +0.2 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 197 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.19
- −5.1 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.20 · Oct 9 – Oct 17
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Smolder, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Smolder wins 52.3% of 197 games (95% range 45.3–59.1%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 52.1% for Smolder; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 41, within the margin of error (195 games).
- Smolder players pick Lord Dominik's Regards much less often against Vayne: 14.2% of their other Bot games, 7.6% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Smolder and Vayne played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Smolder's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Smolder vs Vayne Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Smolder vs Vayne Win Rate by Game Length
Smolder's win rate against Vayne by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Smolder's results against Vayne in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Smolder vs Vayne Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenSmolder gold at 15: −41
- First itemSmolderSmolder: 11.5 min · Vayne: 13.1 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenSmolder wins 53.6% of 84 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenSmolder wins 50.9% of 106 games
What Smolder Changes Against Vayne
Choices Smolder players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Usually14.2%vs Vayne7.6%−6.5 pts
Mortal ReminderItemUsually6.7%vs Vayne10.7%+4.0 pts61.9% WR here
Best Smolder Build vs Vayne
Usual Smolder build (Bot)
60.3% win rate · 876 games
Against Vayne
55.2% win rate · 29 games
Limited sample: 29 of 150 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Smolder usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 11.5 min (median of 157 games).
- Vayne usually completes Blade of The Ruined King first, at 13.1 min (median of 102 games).
- Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Smolder Runes vs Vayne
Usual Smolder runes (Bot)
Deathfire Touch
53.6% win rate · 2,120 games
Against Vayne
Deathfire Touch75.0% win rate · 20 games
Plan your Smolder draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Smolder matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.20. The table below shows Smolder's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Smolder build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Smolder Matchups
Hardest for Smolder
Easiest for Smolder
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Smolder vs Vayne FAQ - Patch 26.20
Who wins Smolder vs Vayne?
Current data slightly favors Smolder, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Smolder wins 52.3% of 197 games (95% range 45.3–59.1%).
What is Smolder's win rate against Vayne?
Smolder wins 52.3% of 197 Bot games against Vayne on patch 26.20 (95% range 45.3–59.1%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 52.1% would be expected.
Does Smolder counter Vayne?
Not clearly. Smolder wins 52.3% of 197 games against Vayne, and the 95% range (45.3–59.1%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Smolder or Vayne?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 41, within the margin of error (195 games).
Does Smolder outscale Vayne?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Vayne strongest against Smolder?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Vayne is ahead of Smolder beyond the margin of error.
What should Smolder build against Vayne?
The most successful Smolder core against Vayne is Essence Reaver, Spear of Shojin, Rapid Firecannon (55.2% over 29 games). The biggest change against Vayne: Lord Dominik's Regards (14.2% usually, 7.6% here).
What runes should Smolder use against Vayne?
Deathfire Touch with Sorcery and Inspiration — 75.0% over 20 games against Vayne.