
- Win Rate
- 50.8%
- Pick Rate
- 5.8%
- Ban Rate
- 9.2%
Tristana vs Lucian
- Patch
- 26.19
- Games
- 11,698
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Oct 8, 2026 UTC
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
Tristana vs Lucian is a moderate matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Tristana wins with a 52.3% win rate (+4.5%) over Lucian based on 132 games. Tristana holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Tristana build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Tristana vs Lucian matchup.
Tristana Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Tristana performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.


Who wins Tristana vs Lucian?
Tristana wins 57.5% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 51.4% and 63.3% (95% range).
- Expected
- 55.4% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- +2.1 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 261 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.18
- +2.0 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28
Key takeaways
- Tristana is favored in this matchup: Tristana wins 57.5% of 261 games, and the whole 95% range (51.4–63.3%) is on the same side of 50%.
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 55.4% for Tristana; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 4, within the margin of error (257 games).
- Tristana players pick Health Scaling (defense) much less often against Lucian: 44.1% of their other Bot games, 36.0% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Tristana and Lucian played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Tristana's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Tristana vs Lucian Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Tristana vs Lucian Win Rate by Game Length
Tristana's win rate against Lucian by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Tristana's results against Lucian in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Tristana vs Lucian Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenTristana gold at 15: +4
- First itemLucianTristana: 11.5 min · Lucian: 11.0 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenTristana wins 58.1% of 124 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenTristana wins 57.3% of 117 games
What Tristana Changes Against Lucian
Choices Tristana players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Health Scaling (defense)Stat shardUsually44.1%vs Lucian36.0%−8.1 pts59.6% WR here
Treasure HunterRuneUsually39.4%vs Lucian31.4%−8.0 pts61.0% WR here
Health (defense)Stat shardUsually54.1%vs Lucian62.1%+8.0 pts55.6% WR here
Biscuit DeliveryRuneUsually23.8%vs Lucian31.4%+7.6 pts61.0% WR here
InspirationSecondary treeUsually54.7%vs Lucian62.1%+7.3 pts56.2% WR here
Cut DownRuneUsually54.5%vs Lucian61.7%+7.2 pts55.9% WR here
DominationSecondary treeUsually40.1%vs Lucian33.0%−7.2 pts62.8% WR here
Lethal TempoKeystoneUsually84.1%vs Lucian90.0%+6.0 pts57.9% WR here
Best Tristana Build vs Lucian
Usual Tristana build (Bot)
83.3% win rate · 18 games
Against Lucian
81.8% win rate · 22 games
Limited sample: 22 of 191 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Tristana usually completes Yun Tal Wildarrows first, at 11.5 min (median of 153 games).
- Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 11.0 min (median of 205 games).
- Skill priority: E > Q > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Tristana Runes vs Lucian
Plan your Tristana draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions

Tristana matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Tristana's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Tristana build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Tristana Matchups
Hardest for Tristana
Easiest for Tristana
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Tristana vs Lucian FAQ - Patch 26.19
Who wins Tristana vs Lucian?
Tristana is favored in this matchup: Tristana wins 57.5% of 261 games, and the whole 95% range (51.4–63.3%) is on the same side of 50%.
What is Tristana's win rate against Lucian?
Tristana wins 57.5% of 261 Bot games against Lucian on patch 26.19 (95% range 51.4–63.3%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 55.4% would be expected.
Does Tristana counter Lucian?
Yes. Tristana wins 57.5% of 261 games against Lucian on patch 26.19, and the whole 95% range is above 50%.
Who wins lane, Tristana or Lucian?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 4, within the margin of error (257 games).
Does Tristana outscale Lucian?
Not measurably: Tristana's win rate against Lucian in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.
When is Lucian strongest against Tristana?
Lucian is measurably ahead in: First item.
What should Tristana build against Lucian?
The most successful Tristana core against Lucian is Navori Flickerblade, Lord Dominik's Regards, Yun Tal Wildarrows (81.8% over 22 games).
What runes should Tristana use against Lucian?
Lethal Tempo with Precision and Domination — 60.7% over 56 games against Lucian. The biggest change against Lucian: Health Scaling (defense) (44.1% usually, 36.0% here).