- Win Rate
- 49.7%
- Pick Rate
- 3.3%
- Ban Rate
- 2.2%
Aphelios vs Caitlyn
- Patch
- 26.20
- Games
- 6,521
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Oct 21, 2026 UTC
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
Aphelios vs Caitlyn is a moderate matchup in LoL patch 26.20. Caitlyn wins with a 52.0% win rate (+3.9%) over Aphelios based on 666 games. Caitlyn wins the early laning phase while Aphelios scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Aphelios build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Aphelios vs Caitlyn matchup.
Aphelios Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Aphelios performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Aphelios vs Caitlyn?
Aphelios wins 47.8% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 43.9% and 51.6% (95% range).
- Expected
- 49.3% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −1.5 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 647 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.19
- −2.0 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.20 · Oct 9 – Oct 19
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Caitlyn, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Aphelios wins 47.8% of 647 games (95% range 43.9–51.6%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 49.3% for Aphelios; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Caitlyn usually wins the lane: 285 gold ahead of Aphelios at 15 minutes on average (633 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
- Aphelios players pick Infinity Edge much less often against Caitlyn: 79.5% of their other Bot games, 75.1% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Aphelios and Caitlyn played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Aphelios's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Aphelios vs Caitlyn Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Aphelios vs Caitlyn Win Rate by Game Length
Aphelios's win rate against Caitlyn by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Aphelios's results against Caitlyn in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Aphelios vs Caitlyn Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)CaitlynAphelios gold at 15: −285
- First itemCaitlynAphelios: 12.0 min · Caitlyn: 11.3 min
- Games under 20 minEvenAphelios wins 48.3% of 60 games
- 20–30 min gamesCaitlynAphelios wins 41.2% of 277 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenAphelios wins 53.5% of 310 games
What Aphelios Changes Against Caitlyn
Choices Aphelios players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Infinity EdgeItemUsually79.5%vs Caitlyn75.1%−4.3 pts51.4% WR here
TriumphRuneUsually54.3%vs Caitlyn50.1%−4.2 pts49.4% WR here
Gluttonous GreavesBootsUsually25.3%vs Caitlyn21.6%−3.7 pts50.7% WR here
Best Aphelios Build vs Caitlyn
Usual Aphelios build (Bot)
73.0% win rate · 63 games
Against Caitlyn
79.3% win rate · 29 games
Limited sample: 29 of 410 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Aphelios usually completes The Collector first, at 12.0 min (median of 278 games).
- Caitlyn usually completes Hexoptics C44 first, at 11.3 min (median of 306 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Aphelios Runes vs Caitlyn
Usual Aphelios runes (Bot)
Press the Attack
51.8% win rate · 1,769 games
Against Caitlyn
Press the Attack49.4% win rate · 178 games
Plan your Aphelios draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Aphelios matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.20. The table below shows Aphelios's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Aphelios build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Aphelios Matchups
Hardest for Aphelios
Easiest for Aphelios
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Aphelios vs Caitlyn FAQ - Patch 26.20
Who wins Aphelios vs Caitlyn?
Current data slightly favors Caitlyn, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Aphelios wins 47.8% of 647 games (95% range 43.9–51.6%).
What is Aphelios's win rate against Caitlyn?
Aphelios wins 47.8% of 647 Bot games against Caitlyn on patch 26.20 (95% range 43.9–51.6%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 49.3% would be expected.
Does Aphelios counter Caitlyn?
Not clearly. Aphelios wins 47.8% of 647 games against Caitlyn, and the 95% range (43.9–51.6%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Aphelios or Caitlyn?
Caitlyn usually wins the lane: 285 gold ahead of Aphelios at 15 minutes on average (633 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Aphelios outscale Caitlyn?
Not measurably: Aphelios's win rate against Caitlyn in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.
When is Caitlyn strongest against Aphelios?
Caitlyn is measurably ahead in: Lane (15 min), First item, 20–30 min games.
What should Aphelios build against Caitlyn?
The most successful Aphelios core against Caitlyn is The Collector, Runaan's Hurricane, Lord Dominik's Regards (79.3% over 29 games). The biggest change against Caitlyn: Infinity Edge (79.5% usually, 75.1% here).
What runes should Aphelios use against Caitlyn?
Press the Attack with Precision and Inspiration — 49.4% over 178 games against Caitlyn. The biggest change against Caitlyn: Triumph (54.3% usually, 50.1% here).