- Win Rate
- 50.4%
- Pick Rate
- 9.9%
- Ban Rate
- 34.2%
Caitlyn vs Aphelios
- Patch
- 26.20
- Games
- 19,848
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Oct 21, 2026 UTC
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
Caitlyn vs Aphelios is a moderate matchup in LoL patch 26.20. Caitlyn wins with a 52.0% win rate (+3.9%) over Aphelios based on 666 games. Caitlyn wins the early laning phase while Aphelios scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Caitlyn build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Caitlyn vs Aphelios matchup.
Caitlyn Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Caitlyn performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Caitlyn vs Aphelios?
Caitlyn wins 52.2% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 48.4% and 56.1% (95% range).
- Expected
- 50.7% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- +1.5 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 647 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.19
- +2.0 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.20 · Oct 9 – Oct 19
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Caitlyn, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Caitlyn wins 52.2% of 647 games (95% range 48.4–56.1%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 50.7% for Caitlyn; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Caitlyn usually wins the lane: 285 gold ahead of Aphelios at 15 minutes on average (633 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
- Caitlyn players pick The Collector much less often against Aphelios: 49.9% of their other Bot games, 45.3% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Caitlyn and Aphelios played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Caitlyn's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Caitlyn vs Aphelios Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Caitlyn vs Aphelios Win Rate by Game Length
Caitlyn's win rate against Aphelios by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Caitlyn's results against Aphelios in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Caitlyn vs Aphelios Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)CaitlynCaitlyn gold at 15: +285
- First itemCaitlynCaitlyn: 11.3 min · Aphelios: 12.0 min
- Games under 20 minEvenCaitlyn wins 51.7% of 60 games
- 20–30 min gamesCaitlynCaitlyn wins 58.8% of 277 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenCaitlyn wins 46.5% of 310 games
What Caitlyn Changes Against Aphelios
Choices Caitlyn players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
The CollectorItemUsually49.9%vs Aphelios45.3%−4.7 pts51.9% WR here
InspirationSecondary treeUsually7.8%vs Aphelios11.4%+3.6 pts58.1% WR here
Cash BackRuneUsually8.0%vs Aphelios11.3%+3.2 pts53.4% WR here
Best Caitlyn Build vs Aphelios
Usual Caitlyn build (Bot)
77.8% win rate · 27 games
Against Aphelios
62.0% win rate · 50 games
- Caitlyn usually completes Hexoptics C44 first, at 11.3 min (median of 306 games).
- Aphelios usually completes The Collector first, at 12.0 min (median of 278 games).
- Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Caitlyn Runes vs Aphelios
Usual Caitlyn runes (Bot)
Lethal Tempo
57.2% win rate · 451 games
Against Aphelios
First Strike
58.5% win rate · 94 games
Plan your Caitlyn draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Caitlyn matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.20. The table below shows Caitlyn's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Caitlyn build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Caitlyn Matchups
Hardest for Caitlyn
Easiest for Caitlyn
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Caitlyn vs Aphelios FAQ - Patch 26.20
Who wins Caitlyn vs Aphelios?
Current data slightly favors Caitlyn, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Caitlyn wins 52.2% of 647 games (95% range 48.4–56.1%).
What is Caitlyn's win rate against Aphelios?
Caitlyn wins 52.2% of 647 Bot games against Aphelios on patch 26.20 (95% range 48.4–56.1%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 50.7% would be expected.
Does Caitlyn counter Aphelios?
Not clearly. Caitlyn wins 52.2% of 647 games against Aphelios, and the 95% range (48.4–56.1%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Caitlyn or Aphelios?
Caitlyn usually wins the lane: 285 gold ahead of Aphelios at 15 minutes on average (633 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Caitlyn outscale Aphelios?
Not measurably: Caitlyn's win rate against Aphelios in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.
When is Aphelios strongest against Caitlyn?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Aphelios is ahead of Caitlyn beyond the margin of error.
What should Caitlyn build against Aphelios?
The most successful Caitlyn core against Aphelios is Rapid Firecannon, Lord Dominik's Regards, Infinity Edge (62.0% over 50 games). The biggest change against Aphelios: The Collector (49.9% usually, 45.3% here).
What runes should Caitlyn use against Aphelios?
First Strike with Inspiration and Sorcery — 58.5% over 94 games against Aphelios. The biggest change against Aphelios: Inspiration (7.8% usually, 11.4% here).