- Win Rate
- 50.3%
- Pick Rate
- 2.4%
- Ban Rate
- 2.1%
Aphelios vs Lucian
- Patch
- 26.22
- Games
- 1,486
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Nov 6, 2026 UTC
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
Aphelios vs Lucian is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.22. Aphelios wins with a 63.6% win rate (+27.3%) over Lucian based on 44 games. Aphelios holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Aphelios build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Aphelios vs Lucian matchup.
Aphelios Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Aphelios performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Aphelios vs Lucian?
Aphelios wins 61.9% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 46.8% and 75.0% (95% range).
- Expected
- 50.0% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- +11.9 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 42 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.21
- — Not enough games on both patches
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.22 · Nov 4 – Nov 6
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Aphelios, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Aphelios wins 61.9% of 42 games (95% range 46.8–75.0%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 50.0% for Aphelios; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Lucian usually wins the lane: 573 gold ahead of Aphelios at 15 minutes on average (42 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
- Aphelios players pick Conqueror far more often against Lucian: 3.1% of their other Bot games, 9.5% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Aphelios and Lucian played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Aphelios's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Aphelios vs Lucian Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Aphelios vs Lucian Win Rate by Game Length
Aphelios's win rate against Lucian by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Aphelios's results against Lucian in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Aphelios vs Lucian Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)LucianAphelios gold at 15: −573
- First itemLucianAphelios: 12.5 min · Lucian: 10.5 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Aphelios Changes Against Lucian
Choices Aphelios players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
ConquerorKeystoneUsually3.1%vs Lucian9.5%+6.4 pts
Best Aphelios Build vs Lucian
Usual Aphelios build (Bot)
82.4% win rate · 17 games
Against Lucian
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 3 of 27 Aphelios games against Lucian carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Aphelios's standard build instead.
- Aphelios usually completes The Collector first, at 12.5 min (median of 21 games).
- Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 10.5 min (median of 33 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Aphelios Runes vs Lucian
Usual Aphelios runes (Bot)
Press the Attack
52.5% win rate · 413 games
Against Lucian
Too few games for a matchup-specific rune page yet — use the usual page.
Plan your Aphelios draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Aphelios matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.22. The table below shows Aphelios's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Aphelios build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Aphelios Matchups
Hardest for Aphelios
Easiest for Aphelios
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Aphelios vs Lucian FAQ - Patch 26.22
Who wins Aphelios vs Lucian?
Current data slightly favors Aphelios, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Aphelios wins 61.9% of 42 games (95% range 46.8–75.0%).
What is Aphelios's win rate against Lucian?
Aphelios wins 61.9% of 42 Bot games against Lucian on patch 26.22 (95% range 46.8–75.0%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 50.0% would be expected.
Does Aphelios counter Lucian?
Not clearly. Aphelios wins 61.9% of 42 games against Lucian, and the 95% range (46.8–75.0%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Aphelios or Lucian?
Lucian usually wins the lane: 573 gold ahead of Aphelios at 15 minutes on average (42 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Aphelios outscale Lucian?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Lucian strongest against Aphelios?
Lucian is measurably ahead in: Lane (15 min), First item.
What should Aphelios build against Lucian?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Aphelios's usual Bot core: The Collector, Runaan's Hurricane, Infinity Edge.
What runes should Aphelios use against Lucian?
Use Aphelios's usual Press the Attack page (Precision + Inspiration); there are too few games for a matchup-specific page. The biggest change against Lucian: Conqueror (3.1% usually, 9.5% here).