- Win Rate
- 48.8%
- Pick Rate
- 3.3%
- Ban Rate
- 1.4%
Lucian vs Aphelios
- Patch
- 26.22
- Games
- 1,163
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Nov 6, 2026 UTC
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
Lucian vs Aphelios is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.22. Aphelios wins with a 65.5% win rate (+31.0%) over Lucian based on 29 games. Aphelios holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Lucian vs Aphelios matchup.
Lucian Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Lucian performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Lucian vs Aphelios?
Lucian wins 37.0% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 21.5% and 55.8% (95% range).
- Expected
- 48.9% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −11.8 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 27 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.21
- — Not enough games on both patches
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.22 · Nov 4 – Nov 6
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Aphelios, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 37.0% of 27 games (95% range 21.5–55.8%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 48.9% for Lucian; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Lucian players pick Coup de Grace far more often against Aphelios: 63.0% of their other Bot games, 85.2% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Lucian and Aphelios played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Lucian's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Lucian vs Aphelios Laning Stats
Only 27 games have a 15-minute snapshot so far — the lane-phase numbers appear from 30.
Whole-game averages
Lucian vs Aphelios Win Rate by Game Length
Lucian's win rate against Aphelios by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Lucian's results against Aphelios in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Lucian vs Aphelios Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)Insufficient data
- First itemInsufficient data
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Lucian Changes Against Aphelios
Choices Lucian players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Coup de GraceRuneUsually63.0%vs Aphelios85.2%+22.2 pts34.8% WR here
Cosmic InsightRuneUsually17.3%vs Apheliosunder 2%−17.3 pts
Guardian AngelItemUsually9.6%vs Aphelios22.2%+12.7 pts
Usually3.6%vs Aphelios11.1%+7.5 pts
Wit's EndItemUsuallyunder 0.5%vs Aphelios3.7%+3.7 pts
Usuallyunder 0.5%vs Aphelios3.7%+3.7 pts
Long Sword + Long Sword + Doran's Bow + Health Potion + Health PotionStarting itemsUsuallyunder 0.5%vs Aphelios3.7%+3.7 pts
Hail of BladesKeystoneUsuallyunder 0.5%vs Aphelios3.7%+3.7 pts
Best Lucian Build vs Aphelios
Usual Lucian build (Bot)
55.7% win rate · 185 games
Against Aphelios
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 4 of 19 Lucian games against Aphelios carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Lucian's standard build instead.
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Lucian Runes vs Aphelios
Usual Lucian runes (Bot)
Press the Attack
72.2% win rate · 18 games
Against Aphelios
Too few games for a matchup-specific rune page yet — use the usual page.
Plan your Lucian draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Lucian matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.22. The table below shows Lucian's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Lucian Matchups
Hardest for Lucian
Easiest for Lucian
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Lucian vs Aphelios FAQ - Patch 26.22
Who wins Lucian vs Aphelios?
Current data slightly favors Aphelios, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 37.0% of 27 games (95% range 21.5–55.8%).
What is Lucian's win rate against Aphelios?
Lucian wins 37.0% of 27 Bot games against Aphelios on patch 26.22 (95% range 21.5–55.8%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 48.9% would be expected.
Does Lucian counter Aphelios?
Not clearly. Lucian wins 37.0% of 27 games against Aphelios, and the 95% range (21.5–55.8%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Lucian or Aphelios?
There are not enough games with a 15-minute snapshot yet (27) to say who wins lane.
Does Lucian outscale Aphelios?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Aphelios strongest against Lucian?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Aphelios is ahead of Lucian beyond the margin of error.
What should Lucian build against Aphelios?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Lucian's usual Bot core: Navori Flickerblade, Essence Reaver, Lord Dominik's Regards. The biggest change against Aphelios: Guardian Angel (9.6% usually, 22.2% here).
What runes should Lucian use against Aphelios?
Use Lucian's usual Press the Attack page (Precision + Inspiration); there are too few games for a matchup-specific page. The biggest change against Aphelios: Coup de Grace (63.0% usually, 85.2% here).