- Win Rate
- 50.4%
- Pick Rate
- 9.9%
- Ban Rate
- 34.2%
Caitlyn vs Swain
- Patch
- 26.20
- Games
- 19,848
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Oct 25, 2026 UTC
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
Caitlyn vs Swain is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.20. Swain wins with a 57.1% win rate (+14.3%) over Caitlyn based on 56 games. Swain holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Caitlyn build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Caitlyn vs Swain matchup.
Caitlyn Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Caitlyn performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Caitlyn vs Swain?
Caitlyn wins 41.8% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 29.7% and 55.0% (95% range).
- Expected
- 46.4% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −4.6 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 55 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.19
- −7.4 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.20 · Oct 10 – Oct 19
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Swain, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Caitlyn wins 41.8% of 55 games (95% range 29.7–55.0%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 46.4% for Caitlyn; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 85, within the margin of error (54 games).
- Caitlyn players pick Mortal Reminder far more often against Swain: 9.0% of their other Bot games, 25.5% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Caitlyn and Swain played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Caitlyn's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Caitlyn vs Swain Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Caitlyn vs Swain Win Rate by Game Length
Caitlyn's win rate against Swain by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Caitlyn's results against Swain in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Caitlyn vs Swain Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenCaitlyn gold at 15: −85
- First itemCaitlynCaitlyn: 10.8 min · Swain: 11.3 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Caitlyn Changes Against Swain
Choices Caitlyn players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Mortal ReminderItemUsually9.0%vs Swain25.5%+16.4 pts
Usually44.3%vs Swain29.1%−15.2 pts
Rapid FirecannonItemUsually35.1%vs Swain20.0%−15.1 pts- Q > W > Ethe Q > W > E skill orderSkill priorityUsually76.9%vs Swain89.1%+12.2 pts44.9% WR here
Nimbus CloakRuneUsually0.6%vs Swain3.6%+3.0 pts
Best Caitlyn Build vs Swain
Usual Caitlyn build (Bot)
77.8% win rate · 27 games
Against Swain
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 4 of 32 Caitlyn games against Swain carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Caitlyn's standard build instead.
- Caitlyn usually completes Hexoptics C44 first, at 10.8 min (median of 31 games).
- Swain usually completes Malignance first, at 11.3 min (median of 22 games).
- Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Caitlyn Runes vs Swain
Usual Caitlyn runes (Bot)
Lethal Tempo
57.2% win rate · 451 games
Against Swain
Lethal Tempo
41.9% win rate · 31 games
Plan your Caitlyn draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Caitlyn matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.20. The table below shows Caitlyn's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Caitlyn build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Caitlyn Matchups
Hardest for Caitlyn
Easiest for Caitlyn
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Caitlyn vs Swain FAQ - Patch 26.20
Who wins Caitlyn vs Swain?
Current data slightly favors Swain, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Caitlyn wins 41.8% of 55 games (95% range 29.7–55.0%).
What is Caitlyn's win rate against Swain?
Caitlyn wins 41.8% of 55 Bot games against Swain on patch 26.20 (95% range 29.7–55.0%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 46.4% would be expected.
Does Caitlyn counter Swain?
Not clearly. Caitlyn wins 41.8% of 55 games against Swain, and the 95% range (29.7–55.0%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Caitlyn or Swain?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 85, within the margin of error (54 games).
Does Caitlyn outscale Swain?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Swain strongest against Caitlyn?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Swain is ahead of Caitlyn beyond the margin of error.
What should Caitlyn build against Swain?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Caitlyn's usual Bot core: Immortal Shieldbow, Bloodthirster, Lord Dominik's Regards. The biggest change against Swain: Mortal Reminder (9.0% usually, 25.5% here).
What runes should Caitlyn use against Swain?
Lethal Tempo with Precision and Sorcery — 41.9% over 31 games against Swain. The biggest change against Swain: Nimbus Cloak (0.6% usually, 3.6% here).