Swainvs Caitlyn
Swain vs Caitlyn is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Caitlyn wins with a 55.9% win rate (+11.8%) over Swain based on 34 games. Swain wins the early laning phase while Caitlyn scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Swain build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Swain vs Caitlyn matchup.
Swain Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Swain performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Swain vs Caitlyn?
Swain wins 50.8% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 38.8% and 62.7% (95% range).
- Expected
- 52.6% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −1.8 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 63 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.18
- −14.5 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28
Key takeaways
- Swain vs Caitlyn is an even matchup: Swain wins 50.8% of 63 games, and the 95% range (38.8–62.7%) comfortably includes 50%.
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 52.6% for Swain; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 164, within the margin of error (63 games).
- Swain players pick Conqueror much less often against Caitlyn: 74.5% of their other Bot games, 61.9% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Swain and Caitlyn played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Swain's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Swain vs Caitlyn Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Swain vs Caitlyn Win Rate by Game Length
Swain's win rate against Caitlyn by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Swain's results against Caitlyn in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Swain vs Caitlyn Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenSwain gold at 15: −164
- First itemSwainSwain: 10.5 min · Caitlyn: 11.2 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Swain Changes Against Caitlyn
Choices Swain players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
ConquerorKeystoneUsually74.5%vs Caitlyn61.9%−12.6 pts48.7% WR here
Flash + TeleportSummoner spellsUsually7.0%vs Caitlyn14.3%+7.3 pts
FimbulwinterItemUsually3.5%vs Caitlyn9.5%+6.0 pts
Luden's EchoItemUsually0.4%vs Caitlyn4.8%+4.4 pts
Best Swain Build vs Caitlyn
Usual Swain build (Bot)
59.6% win rate · 89 games
Against Caitlyn
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 6 of 41 Swain games against Caitlyn carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Swain's standard build instead.
- Swain usually completes Malignance first, at 10.5 min (median of 28 games).
- Caitlyn usually completes Hexoptics C44 first, at 11.2 min (median of 32 games).
- Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Swain Runes vs Caitlyn
Usual Swain runes (Bot)
Conqueror
58.0% win rate · 131 games
Against Caitlyn
Too few games for a matchup-specific rune page yet — use the usual page.
Plan your Swain draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Swain matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Swain's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Swain build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Swain Matchups
Hardest for Swain
Easiest for Swain
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Swain vs Caitlyn FAQ - Patch 26.19
Who wins Swain vs Caitlyn?
Swain vs Caitlyn is an even matchup: Swain wins 50.8% of 63 games, and the 95% range (38.8–62.7%) comfortably includes 50%.
What is Swain's win rate against Caitlyn?
Swain wins 50.8% of 63 Bot games against Caitlyn on patch 26.19 (95% range 38.8–62.7%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 52.6% would be expected.
Does Swain counter Caitlyn?
Not clearly. Swain wins 50.8% of 63 games against Caitlyn, and the 95% range (38.8–62.7%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Swain or Caitlyn?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 164, within the margin of error (63 games).
Does Swain outscale Caitlyn?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Caitlyn strongest against Swain?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Caitlyn is ahead of Swain beyond the margin of error.
What should Swain build against Caitlyn?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Swain's usual Bot core: Zhonya's Hourglass, Malignance, Rylai's Crystal Scepter. The biggest change against Caitlyn: Fimbulwinter (3.5% usually, 9.5% here).
What runes should Swain use against Caitlyn?
Use Swain's usual Conqueror page (Precision + Resolve); there are too few games for a matchup-specific page. The biggest change against Caitlyn: Conqueror (74.5% usually, 61.9% here).