Nocturnevs Elise
Nocturne vs Elise is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Nocturne wins with a 60.9% win rate (+21.7%) over Elise based on 23 games. Nocturne holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Nocturne build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Nocturne vs Elise matchup.
Nocturne Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Nocturne performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Nocturne vs Elise?
Nocturne wins 57.9% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 45.0% and 69.8% (95% range).
- Expected
- 51.1% From both champions' overall Jungle win rates
- Matchup effect
- +6.8 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 57 games Lane: Jungle
- vs patch 26.18
- — Not enough games on both patches
Lane: Jungle · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Nocturne, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Nocturne wins 57.9% of 57 games (95% range 45.0–69.8%).
- Both champions' overall Jungle win rates predict 51.1% for Nocturne; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Nocturne usually wins the lane: 398 gold ahead of Elise at 15 minutes on average (57 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
- Nocturne players pick Plated Steelcaps much less often against Elise: 38.4% of their other Jungle games, 12.3% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Nocturne and Elise played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Nocturne's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Nocturne vs Elise Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Nocturne vs Elise Win Rate by Game Length
Nocturne's win rate against Elise by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Nocturne's results against Elise in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Nocturne vs Elise Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)NocturneNocturne gold at 15: +398
- First itemEvenNocturne: 0.2 min · Elise: 0.1 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Nocturne Changes Against Elise
Choices Nocturne players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Jungle games.
Plated SteelcapsBootsUsually38.4%vs Elise12.3%−26.2 pts
Mercury's TreadsBootsUsually24.1%vs Elise49.1%+25.1 pts53.6% WR here
Usually5.0%vs Elise15.8%+10.7 pts
Shield BashRuneUsuallyunder 0.5%vs Elise3.5%+3.5 pts
Best Nocturne Build vs Elise
Usual Nocturne build (Jungle)
80.8% win rate · 26 games
Against Elise
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 8 of 38 Nocturne games against Elise carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Nocturne's standard build instead.
- Nocturne usually completes Scorchclaw Pup first, at 0.2 min (median of 48 games).
- Elise usually completes Scorchclaw Pup first, at 0.1 min (median of 39 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Nocturne Runes vs Elise
Usual Nocturne runes (Jungle)
Lethal Tempo
51.7% win rate · 931 games
Against Elise
Hail of Blades
50.0% win rate · 24 games
Plan your Nocturne draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Nocturne matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Nocturne's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Nocturne build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Nocturne Matchups
Hardest for Nocturne
Easiest for Nocturne
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Nocturne vs Elise FAQ - Patch 26.19
Who wins Nocturne vs Elise?
Current data slightly favors Nocturne, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Nocturne wins 57.9% of 57 games (95% range 45.0–69.8%).
What is Nocturne's win rate against Elise?
Nocturne wins 57.9% of 57 Jungle games against Elise on patch 26.19 (95% range 45.0–69.8%). Based on both champions' overall Jungle win rates, 51.1% would be expected.
Does Nocturne counter Elise?
Not clearly. Nocturne wins 57.9% of 57 games against Elise, and the 95% range (45.0–69.8%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Nocturne or Elise?
Nocturne usually wins the lane: 398 gold ahead of Elise at 15 minutes on average (57 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Nocturne outscale Elise?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Elise strongest against Nocturne?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Elise is ahead of Nocturne beyond the margin of error.
What should Nocturne build against Elise?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Nocturne's usual Jungle core: Voltaic Cyclosword, Stridebreaker, Death's Dance. The biggest change against Elise: Plated Steelcaps (38.4% usually, 12.3% here).
What runes should Nocturne use against Elise?
Hail of Blades with Domination and Precision — 50.0% over 24 games against Elise. The biggest change against Elise: Shield Bash (under 0.5% usually, 3.5% here).