- Win Rate
- 51.6%
- Pick Rate
- 1.8%
- Ban Rate
- 2.3%
Elise vs Nocturne
- Patch
- 26.22
- Games
- 3,522
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Nov 14, 2026 UTC
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
Elise vs Nocturne (Jungle): Elise wins 58.2% of 98 ranked games over the last 2 patches (gold diff at 15: +201). Patch 26.22 build & runes.
Elise58.2%
Current data slightly favors Elise, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Elise wins 58.2% of 98 games (95% range 48.3–67.4%).
Elise Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Elise performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Elise vs Nocturne?
Elise wins 58.2% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 48.3% and 67.4% (95% range).
- Expected
- 52.2% From both champions' overall Jungle win rates
- Matchup effect
- +6.0 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 98 games Lane: Jungle · Patch 26.21–26.22
- vs patch 26.21
- — Not enough games on both patches
Lane: Jungle · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.21–26.22 · Oct 27 – Nov 14
The headline win rate covers patches 26.21–26.22 (98 games). The lane, game-length, build and rune sections below use patch 26.22 only (51 games).
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Elise, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Elise wins 58.2% of 98 games (95% range 48.3–67.4%).
- Both champions' overall Jungle win rates predict 52.2% for Elise; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 201, within the margin of error (51 games).
- Elise players pick Transcendence far more often against Nocturne: 15.8% of their other Jungle games, 31.4% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Elise and Nocturne played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Elise's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Elise vs Nocturne Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Elise vs Nocturne Win Rate by Game Length
Elise's win rate against Nocturne by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Elise's results against Nocturne in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Elise vs Nocturne Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenElise gold at 15: +201
- First itemEvenElise: 0.1 min · Nocturne: 0.1 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Elise Changes Against Nocturne
Choices Elise players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Jungle games.
TranscendenceRuneUsually15.8%vs Nocturne31.4%+15.6 pts
Dark HarvestKeystoneUsually60.4%vs Nocturne45.1%−15.3 pts52.2% WR here
TriumphRuneUsually54.3%vs Nocturne39.2%−15.1 pts55.0% WR here
Stormraider's SurgeKeystoneUsually18.4%vs Nocturne33.3%+15.0 pts
Coup de GraceRuneUsually56.0%vs Nocturne41.2%−14.8 pts57.1% WR here
Lich BaneItemUsually73.1%vs Nocturne86.3%+13.2 pts68.2% WR here
DominationSecondary treeUsually2.8%vs Nocturne7.8%+5.0 pts
Hail of BladesKeystoneUsuallyunder 0.5%vs Nocturne3.9%+3.9 pts
Best Elise Build vs Nocturne
Usual Elise build (Jungle)
86.5% win rate · 37 games
Against Nocturne
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 9 of 32 Elise games against Nocturne carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Elise's standard build instead.
- Elise usually completes Scorchclaw Pup first, at 0.1 min (median of 39 games).
- Nocturne usually completes Scorchclaw Pup first, at 0.1 min (median of 42 games).
- Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Elise Runes vs Nocturne
Usual Elise runes (Jungle)
Dark Harvest
70.8% win rate · 24 games
Against Nocturne
Too few games for a matchup-specific rune page yet — use the usual page.
Plan your Elise draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Elise matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.22. The table below shows Elise's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Elise build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Elise Matchups
Hardest for Elise
Easiest for Elise
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Elise vs Nocturne FAQ - Patch 26.21–26.22
Who wins Elise vs Nocturne?
Current data slightly favors Elise, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Elise wins 58.2% of 98 games (95% range 48.3–67.4%).
What is Elise's win rate against Nocturne?
Elise wins 58.2% of 98 Jungle games against Nocturne on patch 26.21–26.22 (95% range 48.3–67.4%). Based on both champions' overall Jungle win rates, 52.2% would be expected.
Does Elise counter Nocturne?
Not clearly. Elise wins 58.2% of 98 games against Nocturne, and the 95% range (48.3–67.4%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Elise or Nocturne?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 201, within the margin of error (51 games).
Does Elise outscale Nocturne?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Nocturne strongest against Elise?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Nocturne is ahead of Elise beyond the margin of error.
What should Elise build against Nocturne?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Elise's usual Jungle core: Shadowflame, Lich Bane, Mejai's Soulstealer. The biggest change against Nocturne: Lich Bane (73.1% usually, 86.3% here).
What runes should Elise use against Nocturne?
Use Elise's usual Dark Harvest page (Domination + Precision); there are too few games for a matchup-specific page. The biggest change against Nocturne: Transcendence (15.8% usually, 31.4% here).