- Win Rate
- 48.2%
- Pick Rate
- 1.4%
- Ban Rate
- 1.4%
Poppy vs Nautilus
- Patch
- 26.20
- Games
- 1,802
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Oct 13, 2026 UTC
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
Poppy vs Nautilus is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.20. Poppy wins with a 54.0% win rate (+7.9%) over Nautilus based on 63 games. Poppy holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Poppy build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Poppy vs Nautilus matchup.
Poppy Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Poppy performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Poppy vs Nautilus?
Poppy wins 57.9% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 45.0% and 69.8% (95% range).
- Expected
- 47.8% From both champions' overall Support win rates
- Matchup effect
- +10.1 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 57 games Lane: Support
- vs patch 26.19
- +5.8 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Support · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.20 · Oct 9 – Oct 11
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Poppy, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Poppy wins 57.9% of 57 games (95% range 45.0–69.8%).
- Both champions' overall Support win rates predict 47.8% for Poppy; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 48, within the margin of error (55 games).
- Poppy players pick the W > E > Q skill order far more often against Nautilus: under 0.5% of their other Support games, 5.3% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Poppy and Nautilus played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Poppy's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Poppy vs Nautilus Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Poppy vs Nautilus Win Rate by Game Length
Poppy's win rate against Nautilus by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Poppy's results against Nautilus in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Poppy vs Nautilus Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenPoppy gold at 15: −48
- First itemNautilusPoppy: 14.9 min · Nautilus: 13.1 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Poppy Changes Against Nautilus
Choices Poppy players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Support games.
- W > E > Qthe W > E > Q skill orderSkill priorityUsuallyunder 0.5%vs Nautilus5.3%+5.3 pts
GuardianKeystoneUsually0.7%vs Nautilus5.3%+4.6 pts
Health Potion + Health Potion + Control Ward + Stealth WardStarting itemsUsually0.9%vs Nautilus5.3%+4.4 pts
Sunfire AegisItemUsually1.1%vs Nautilus5.3%+4.2 pts- Health Potion + Health Potion + Control WardStarting itemsUsually0.4%vs Nautilus3.5%+3.1 pts
Best Poppy Build vs Nautilus
Usual Poppy build (Support)
60.8% win rate · 51 games
Against Nautilus
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 3 of 20 Poppy games against Nautilus carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Poppy's standard build instead.
- Poppy usually completes Dead Man's Plate first, at 14.9 min (median of 34 games).
- Nautilus usually completes Locket of the Iron Solari first, at 13.1 min (median of 35 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Poppy Runes vs Nautilus
Usual Poppy runes (Support)
Hail of Blades
51.9% win rate · 158 games
Against Nautilus
Too few games for a matchup-specific rune page yet — use the usual page.
Plan your Poppy draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Poppy matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.20. The table below shows Poppy's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Poppy build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Poppy Matchups
Hardest for Poppy
Easiest for Poppy
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Poppy vs Nautilus FAQ - Patch 26.20
Who wins Poppy vs Nautilus?
Current data slightly favors Poppy, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Poppy wins 57.9% of 57 games (95% range 45.0–69.8%).
What is Poppy's win rate against Nautilus?
Poppy wins 57.9% of 57 Support games against Nautilus on patch 26.20 (95% range 45.0–69.8%). Based on both champions' overall Support win rates, 47.8% would be expected.
Does Poppy counter Nautilus?
Not clearly. Poppy wins 57.9% of 57 games against Nautilus, and the 95% range (45.0–69.8%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Poppy or Nautilus?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 48, within the margin of error (55 games).
Does Poppy outscale Nautilus?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Nautilus strongest against Poppy?
Nautilus is measurably ahead in: First item.
What should Poppy build against Nautilus?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Poppy's usual Support core: Force of Nature, Dead Man's Plate, Thornmail. The biggest change against Nautilus: Health Potion + Health Potion + Control Ward + Stealth Ward (0.9% usually, 5.3% here).
What runes should Poppy use against Nautilus?
Use Poppy's usual Hail of Blades page (Domination + Precision); there are too few games for a matchup-specific page. The biggest change against Nautilus: Guardian (0.7% usually, 5.3% here).