- Win Rate
- 51.0%
- Pick Rate
- 6.0%
- Ban Rate
- 7.5%
Thresh vs Nautilus
- Patch
- 26.20
- Games
- 11,976
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Oct 24, 2026 UTC
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
Thresh vs Nautilus is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.20. Thresh wins with a 54.6% win rate (+9.1%) over Nautilus based on 658 games. Thresh holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Thresh build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Thresh vs Nautilus matchup.
Thresh Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Thresh performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Thresh vs Nautilus?
Thresh wins 54.6% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 50.7% and 58.4% (95% range).
- Expected
- 52.3% From both champions' overall Support win rates
- Matchup effect
- +2.3 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 645 games Lane: Support
- vs patch 26.19
- +1.1 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Support · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.20 · Oct 9 – Oct 19
Key takeaways
- Thresh is favored in this matchup: Thresh wins 54.6% of 645 games, and the whole 95% range (50.7–58.4%) is on the same side of 50%.
- Both champions' overall Support win rates predict 52.3% for Thresh; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Thresh usually wins the lane: 130 gold ahead of Nautilus at 15 minutes on average (634 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
- Thresh players pick Mercury's Treads much less often against Nautilus: 12.9% of their other Support games, 8.1% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Thresh and Nautilus played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Thresh's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Thresh vs Nautilus Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Thresh vs Nautilus Win Rate by Game Length
Thresh's win rate against Nautilus by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Thresh's results against Nautilus in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Thresh vs Nautilus Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)ThreshThresh gold at 15: +130
- First itemEvenThresh: 12.6 min · Nautilus: 12.7 min
- Games under 20 minEvenThresh wins 59.4% of 64 games
- 20–30 min gamesThreshThresh wins 55.9% of 297 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenThresh wins 52.1% of 284 games
What Thresh Changes Against Nautilus
Choices Thresh players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Support games.
Mercury's TreadsBootsUsually12.9%vs Nautilus8.1%−4.9 pts59.6% WR here
Kaenic RookernItemUsually8.5%vs Nautilus5.1%−3.4 pts57.6% WR here
Best Thresh Build vs Nautilus
Usual Thresh build (Support)
69.4% win rate · 85 games
Against Nautilus
70.0% win rate · 20 games
Limited sample: 20 of 276 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Thresh usually completes Locket of the Iron Solari first, at 12.6 min (median of 511 games).
- Nautilus usually completes Locket of the Iron Solari first, at 12.7 min (median of 445 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Thresh Runes vs Nautilus
Usual Thresh runes (Support)
Guardian
52.6% win rate · 2,097 games
Against Nautilus
Aftershock
53.9% win rate · 217 games
Plan your Thresh draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Thresh matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.20. The table below shows Thresh's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Thresh build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Thresh Matchups
Hardest for Thresh
Easiest for Thresh
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Thresh vs Nautilus FAQ - Patch 26.20
Who wins Thresh vs Nautilus?
Thresh is favored in this matchup: Thresh wins 54.6% of 645 games, and the whole 95% range (50.7–58.4%) is on the same side of 50%.
What is Thresh's win rate against Nautilus?
Thresh wins 54.6% of 645 Support games against Nautilus on patch 26.20 (95% range 50.7–58.4%). Based on both champions' overall Support win rates, 52.3% would be expected.
Does Thresh counter Nautilus?
Yes. Thresh wins 54.6% of 645 games against Nautilus on patch 26.20, and the whole 95% range is above 50%.
Who wins lane, Thresh or Nautilus?
Thresh usually wins the lane: 130 gold ahead of Nautilus at 15 minutes on average (634 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Thresh outscale Nautilus?
Not measurably: Thresh's win rate against Nautilus in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.
When is Nautilus strongest against Thresh?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Nautilus is ahead of Thresh beyond the margin of error.
What should Thresh build against Nautilus?
The most successful Thresh core against Nautilus is Locket of the Iron Solari, Thornmail, Zeke's Convergence (70.0% over 20 games). The biggest change against Nautilus: Mercury's Treads (12.9% usually, 8.1% here).
What runes should Thresh use against Nautilus?
Aftershock with Resolve and Inspiration — 53.9% over 217 games against Nautilus.