- Win Rate
- 48.9%
- Pick Rate
- 5.2%
- Ban Rate
- 12.1%
Nautilus vs Thresh
- Patch
- 26.20
- Games
- 10,300
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Oct 20, 2026 UTC
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
Nautilus vs Thresh is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.20. Thresh wins with a 54.6% win rate (+9.1%) over Nautilus based on 658 games. Thresh holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Nautilus build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Nautilus vs Thresh matchup.
Nautilus Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Nautilus performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Nautilus vs Thresh?
Nautilus wins 45.4% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 41.6% and 49.3% (95% range).
- Expected
- 47.7% From both champions' overall Support win rates
- Matchup effect
- −2.3 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 645 games Lane: Support
- vs patch 26.19
- −1.1 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Support · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.20 · Oct 9 – Oct 19
Key takeaways
- Thresh is favored in this matchup: Nautilus wins 45.4% of 645 games, and the whole 95% range (41.6–49.3%) is on the same side of 50%.
- Both champions' overall Support win rates predict 47.7% for Nautilus; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Thresh usually wins the lane: 130 gold ahead of Nautilus at 15 minutes on average (634 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
- Nautilus players pick Plated Steelcaps far more often against Thresh: 58.9% of their other Support games, 67.1% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Nautilus and Thresh played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Nautilus's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Nautilus vs Thresh Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Nautilus vs Thresh Win Rate by Game Length
Nautilus's win rate against Thresh by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Nautilus's results against Thresh in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Nautilus vs Thresh Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)ThreshNautilus gold at 15: −130
- First itemEvenNautilus: 12.7 min · Thresh: 12.6 min
- Games under 20 minEvenNautilus wins 40.6% of 64 games
- 20–30 min gamesThreshNautilus wins 44.1% of 297 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenNautilus wins 47.9% of 284 games
What Nautilus Changes Against Thresh
Choices Nautilus players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Support games.
Plated SteelcapsBootsUsually58.9%vs Thresh67.1%+8.2 pts44.1% WR here
Kaenic RookernItemUsually18.4%vs Thresh11.5%−6.9 pts41.9% WR here
Mercury's TreadsBootsUsually26.7%vs Thresh19.8%−6.9 pts51.6% WR here
Health Potion + Health Potion + Stealth WardStarting itemsUsually49.7%vs Thresh53.9%+4.2 pts44.6% WR here
Best Nautilus Build vs Thresh
Usual Nautilus build (Support)
82.1% win rate · 28 games
Against Thresh
55.8% win rate · 43 games
Limited sample: 43 of 208 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Nautilus usually completes Locket of the Iron Solari first, at 12.7 min (median of 445 games).
- Thresh usually completes Locket of the Iron Solari first, at 12.6 min (median of 511 games).
- Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Nautilus Runes vs Thresh
Usual Nautilus runes (Support)
Aftershock
50.1% win rate · 2,844 games
Against Thresh
Glacial Augment
50.6% win rate · 89 games
Plan your Nautilus draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Nautilus matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.20. The table below shows Nautilus's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Nautilus build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Nautilus Matchups
Hardest for Nautilus
Easiest for Nautilus
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Nautilus vs Thresh FAQ - Patch 26.20
Who wins Nautilus vs Thresh?
Thresh is favored in this matchup: Nautilus wins 45.4% of 645 games, and the whole 95% range (41.6–49.3%) is on the same side of 50%.
What is Nautilus's win rate against Thresh?
Nautilus wins 45.4% of 645 Support games against Thresh on patch 26.20 (95% range 41.6–49.3%). Based on both champions' overall Support win rates, 47.7% would be expected.
Does Nautilus counter Thresh?
No — it is the other way around: Nautilus wins only 45.4% of 645 games against Thresh, and the whole 95% range is below 50%.
Who wins lane, Nautilus or Thresh?
Thresh usually wins the lane: 130 gold ahead of Nautilus at 15 minutes on average (634 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Nautilus outscale Thresh?
Not measurably: Nautilus's win rate against Thresh in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.
When is Thresh strongest against Nautilus?
Thresh is measurably ahead in: Lane (15 min), 20–30 min games.
What should Nautilus build against Thresh?
The most successful Nautilus core against Thresh is Locket of the Iron Solari, Knight's Vow, Thornmail (55.8% over 43 games). The biggest change against Thresh: Plated Steelcaps (58.9% usually, 67.1% here).
What runes should Nautilus use against Thresh?
Glacial Augment with Inspiration and Resolve — 50.6% over 89 games against Thresh.