- Win Rate
- 49.0%
- Pick Rate
- 6.1%
- Ban Rate
- 9.8%
Tristana vs Caitlyn
- Patch
- 26.20
- Games
- 4,643
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Oct 11, 2026 UTC
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
Tristana vs Caitlyn is a very close matchup in LoL patch 26.20. Tristana wins with a 50.1% win rate (+0.2%) over Caitlyn based on 403 games. Caitlyn wins the early laning phase while Tristana scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Tristana build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Tristana vs Caitlyn matchup.
Tristana Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Tristana performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Tristana vs Caitlyn?
Tristana wins 50.8% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 45.8% and 55.7% (95% range).
- Expected
- 48.8% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- +2.0 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 386 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.19
- +1.6 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.20 · Oct 9 – Oct 10
Key takeaways
- Tristana vs Caitlyn is an even matchup: Tristana wins 50.8% of 386 games, and the 95% range (45.8–55.7%) comfortably includes 50%.
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 48.8% for Tristana; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 2, within the margin of error (377 games).
- Tristana players pick Inspiration much less often against Caitlyn: 62.4% of their other Bot games, 56.2% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Tristana and Caitlyn played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Tristana's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Tristana vs Caitlyn Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Tristana vs Caitlyn Win Rate by Game Length
Tristana's win rate against Caitlyn by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Tristana's results against Caitlyn in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Tristana vs Caitlyn Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenTristana gold at 15: −2
- First itemEvenTristana: 11.2 min · Caitlyn: 11.1 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenTristana wins 44.4% of 151 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenTristana wins 53.2% of 201 games
What Tristana Changes Against Caitlyn
Choices Tristana players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
InspirationSecondary treeUsually62.4%vs Caitlyn56.2%−6.2 pts54.4% WR here
Usually66.9%vs Caitlyn61.1%−5.7 pts50.4% WR here
Infinity EdgeItemUsually77.7%vs Caitlyn72.3%−5.4 pts54.1% WR here
Doran's Blade + Health Potion + Stealth WardStarting itemsUsually8.3%vs Caitlyn13.5%+5.2 pts59.6% WR here
Treasure HunterRuneUsually31.7%vs Caitlyn36.8%+5.1 pts43.0% WR here
The CollectorItemUsually29.1%vs Caitlyn34.2%+5.1 pts47.0% WR here
Sudden ImpactRuneUsually2.5%vs Caitlyn5.7%+3.2 pts68.2% WR here
Best Tristana Build vs Caitlyn
Usual Tristana build (Bot)
63.8% win rate · 177 games
Against Caitlyn
73.1% win rate · 26 games
Limited sample: 26 of 286 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Tristana usually completes Yun Tal Wildarrows first, at 11.2 min (median of 225 games).
- Caitlyn usually completes Hexoptics C44 first, at 11.1 min (median of 204 games).
- Skill priority: E > Q > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Tristana Runes vs Caitlyn
Usual Tristana runes (Bot)
Lethal Tempo
71.4% win rate · 21 games
Against Caitlyn
Lethal Tempo
52.5% win rate · 59 games
Plan your Tristana draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Tristana matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.20. The table below shows Tristana's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Tristana build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Tristana Matchups
Hardest for Tristana
Easiest for Tristana
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Tristana vs Caitlyn FAQ - Patch 26.20
Who wins Tristana vs Caitlyn?
Tristana vs Caitlyn is an even matchup: Tristana wins 50.8% of 386 games, and the 95% range (45.8–55.7%) comfortably includes 50%.
What is Tristana's win rate against Caitlyn?
Tristana wins 50.8% of 386 Bot games against Caitlyn on patch 26.20 (95% range 45.8–55.7%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 48.8% would be expected.
Does Tristana counter Caitlyn?
Not clearly. Tristana wins 50.8% of 386 games against Caitlyn, and the 95% range (45.8–55.7%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Tristana or Caitlyn?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 2, within the margin of error (377 games).
Does Tristana outscale Caitlyn?
Not measurably: Tristana's win rate against Caitlyn in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.
When is Caitlyn strongest against Tristana?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Caitlyn is ahead of Tristana beyond the margin of error.
What should Tristana build against Caitlyn?
The most successful Tristana core against Caitlyn is The Collector, Navori Flickerblade, Lord Dominik's Regards (73.1% over 26 games). The biggest change against Caitlyn: Yun Tal Wildarrows (66.9% usually, 61.1% here).
What runes should Tristana use against Caitlyn?
Lethal Tempo with Precision and Inspiration — 52.5% over 59 games against Caitlyn. The biggest change against Caitlyn: Inspiration (62.4% usually, 56.2% here).