- Win Rate
- 49.3%
- Pick Rate
- 5.7%
- Ban Rate
- 13.6%
Nautilus vs Alistar
- Patch
- 26.22
- Games
- 11,157
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Nov 14, 2026 UTC
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
Nautilus vs Alistar (Support): Nautilus wins 44.6% of 668 ranked games over the last 2 patches (gold diff at 15: +79). Patch 26.22 build & runes.
Nautilus44.6%
Alistar is favored in this matchup: Nautilus wins 44.6% of 668 games, and the whole 95% range (40.9–48.4%) is on the same side of 50%.
Nautilus Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Nautilus performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Nautilus vs Alistar?
Nautilus wins 44.6% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 40.9% and 48.4% (95% range).
- Expected
- 48.0% From both champions' overall Support win rates
- Matchup effect
- −3.4 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 668 games Lane: Support · Patch 26.21–26.22
- vs patch 26.21
- −3.5 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Support · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.21–26.22 · Oct 27 – Nov 13
The headline win rate covers patches 26.21–26.22 (668 games). The lane, game-length, build and rune sections below use patch 26.22 only (407 games).
Key takeaways
- Alistar is favored in this matchup: Nautilus wins 44.6% of 668 games, and the whole 95% range (40.9–48.4%) is on the same side of 50%.
- Both champions' overall Support win rates predict 48.0% for Nautilus; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Nautilus usually wins the lane: 79 gold ahead of Alistar at 15 minutes on average (403 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
- Nautilus players pick Inspiration far more often against Alistar: 59.8% of their other Support games, 68.6% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Nautilus and Alistar played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Nautilus's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Nautilus vs Alistar Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Nautilus vs Alistar Win Rate by Game Length
Nautilus's win rate against Alistar by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Nautilus's results against Alistar in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Nautilus vs Alistar Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)NautilusNautilus gold at 15: +79
- First itemNautilusNautilus: 12.6 min · Alistar: 13.2 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenNautilus wins 45.4% of 205 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenNautilus wins 42.3% of 163 games
What Nautilus Changes Against Alistar
Choices Nautilus players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Support games.
InspirationSecondary treeUsually59.8%vs Alistar68.6%+8.8 pts41.6% WR here
Health (defense)Stat shardUsually14.4%vs Alistar23.1%+8.7 pts43.6% WR here- Health Scaling (defense)Stat shardUsually82.0%vs Alistar73.7%−8.3 pts42.3% WR here
- Health Scaling (flex)Stat shardUsually83.7%vs Alistar76.7%−7.0 pts43.3% WR here
Flash + HealSummoner spellsUsually15.7%vs Alistar21.9%+6.1 pts47.2% WR here
ThornmailItemUsually28.3%vs Alistar22.4%−5.9 pts44.0% WR here
Bone PlatingRuneUsually66.1%vs Alistar71.5%+5.4 pts41.6% WR here
TriumphRuneUsually24.4%vs Alistar19.4%−5.0 pts46.8% WR here
Best Nautilus Build vs Alistar
Usual Nautilus build (Support)
65.1% win rate · 172 games
Against Alistar
60.7% win rate · 28 games
Limited sample: 28 of 120 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Nautilus usually completes Locket of the Iron Solari first, at 12.6 min (median of 292 games).
- Alistar usually completes Locket of the Iron Solari first, at 13.2 min (median of 186 games).
- Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Nautilus Runes vs Alistar
Usual Nautilus runes (Support)
Aftershock
70.6% win rate · 17 games
Against Alistar
Aftershock
48.5% win rate · 66 games
Plan your Nautilus draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Nautilus matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.22. The table below shows Nautilus's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Nautilus build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Nautilus Matchups
Hardest for Nautilus
Easiest for Nautilus
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Nautilus vs Alistar FAQ - Patch 26.21–26.22
Who wins Nautilus vs Alistar?
Alistar is favored in this matchup: Nautilus wins 44.6% of 668 games, and the whole 95% range (40.9–48.4%) is on the same side of 50%.
What is Nautilus's win rate against Alistar?
Nautilus wins 44.6% of 668 Support games against Alistar on patch 26.21–26.22 (95% range 40.9–48.4%). Based on both champions' overall Support win rates, 48.0% would be expected.
Does Nautilus counter Alistar?
No — it is the other way around: Nautilus wins only 44.6% of 668 games against Alistar, and the whole 95% range is below 50%.
Who wins lane, Nautilus or Alistar?
Nautilus usually wins the lane: 79 gold ahead of Alistar at 15 minutes on average (403 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Nautilus outscale Alistar?
Not measurably: Nautilus's win rate against Alistar in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.
When is Alistar strongest against Nautilus?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Alistar is ahead of Nautilus beyond the margin of error.
What should Nautilus build against Alistar?
The most successful Nautilus core against Alistar is Locket of the Iron Solari, Knight's Vow, Bandlepipes (60.7% over 28 games). The biggest change against Alistar: Thornmail (28.3% usually, 22.4% here).
What runes should Nautilus use against Alistar?
Aftershock with Resolve and Precision — 48.5% over 66 games against Alistar. The biggest change against Alistar: Inspiration (59.8% usually, 68.6% here).