Nilahvs Caitlyn
Nilah vs Caitlyn is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Nilah wins with a 52.6% win rate (+5.3%) over Caitlyn based on 57 games. Nilah wins the early laning phase while Caitlyn scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Nilah build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Nilah vs Caitlyn matchup.
Nilah Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Nilah performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Nilah vs Caitlyn?
Nilah wins 49.1% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 39.9% and 58.3% (95% range).
- Expected
- 52.9% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −3.8 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 110 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.18
- +1.6 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28
Key takeaways
- Nilah vs Caitlyn is an even matchup: Nilah wins 49.1% of 110 games, and the 95% range (39.9–58.3%) comfortably includes 50%.
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 52.9% for Nilah; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 280, within the margin of error (108 games).
- Nilah players pick Navori Flickerblade far more often against Caitlyn: 6.7% of their other Bot games, 12.7% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Nilah and Caitlyn played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Nilah's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Nilah vs Caitlyn Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Nilah vs Caitlyn Win Rate by Game Length
Nilah's win rate against Caitlyn by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Nilah's results against Caitlyn in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Nilah vs Caitlyn Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenNilah gold at 15: −280
- First itemCaitlynNilah: 12.0 min · Caitlyn: 10.8 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenNilah wins 40.5% of 42 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenNilah wins 48.3% of 58 games
What Nilah Changes Against Caitlyn
Choices Nilah players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Usually6.7%vs Caitlyn12.7%+6.0 pts- E > W > Qthe E > W > Q skill orderSkill priorityUsuallyunder 0.5%vs Caitlyn4.5%+4.5 pts
Doran's Shield + Health PotionStarting itemsUsually3.0%vs Caitlyn7.3%+4.3 pts
Best Nilah Build vs Caitlyn
Usual Nilah build (Bot)
85.7% win rate · 35 games
Against Caitlyn
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 10 of 70 Nilah games against Caitlyn carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Nilah's standard build instead.
- Nilah usually completes The Collector first, at 12.0 min (median of 83 games).
- Caitlyn usually completes Hexoptics C44 first, at 10.8 min (median of 46 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Nilah Runes vs Caitlyn
Usual Nilah runes (Bot)
Conqueror
54.3% win rate · 302 games
Against Caitlyn
Conqueror
48.8% win rate · 43 games
Plan your Nilah draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Nilah matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Nilah's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Nilah build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Nilah Matchups
Hardest for Nilah
Easiest for Nilah
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Nilah vs Caitlyn FAQ - Patch 26.19
Who wins Nilah vs Caitlyn?
Nilah vs Caitlyn is an even matchup: Nilah wins 49.1% of 110 games, and the 95% range (39.9–58.3%) comfortably includes 50%.
What is Nilah's win rate against Caitlyn?
Nilah wins 49.1% of 110 Bot games against Caitlyn on patch 26.19 (95% range 39.9–58.3%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 52.9% would be expected.
Does Nilah counter Caitlyn?
Not clearly. Nilah wins 49.1% of 110 games against Caitlyn, and the 95% range (39.9–58.3%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Nilah or Caitlyn?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 280, within the margin of error (108 games).
Does Nilah outscale Caitlyn?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Caitlyn strongest against Nilah?
Caitlyn is measurably ahead in: First item.
What should Nilah build against Caitlyn?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Nilah's usual Bot core: The Collector, Death's Dance, Lord Dominik's Regards. The biggest change against Caitlyn: Navori Flickerblade (6.7% usually, 12.7% here).
What runes should Nilah use against Caitlyn?
Conqueror with Precision and Inspiration — 48.8% over 43 games against Caitlyn.