- Win Rate
- 50.8%
- Pick Rate
- 1.9%
- Ban Rate
- 1.2%
Alistar vs Nautilus
- Patch
- 26.20
- Games
- 2,531
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Oct 13, 2026 UTC
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
Alistar vs Nautilus is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.20. Alistar wins with a 54.5% win rate (+9.1%) over Nautilus based on 143 games. Alistar holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Alistar build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Alistar vs Nautilus matchup.
Alistar Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Alistar performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Alistar vs Nautilus?
Alistar wins 56.1% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 47.8% and 64.1% (95% range).
- Expected
- 51.8% From both champions' overall Support win rates
- Matchup effect
- +4.3 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 139 games Lane: Support
- vs patch 26.19
- +5.6 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Support · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.20 · Oct 9 – Oct 11
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Alistar, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Alistar wins 56.1% of 139 games (95% range 47.8–64.1%).
- Both champions' overall Support win rates predict 51.8% for Alistar; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Nautilus usually wins the lane: 135 gold ahead of Alistar at 15 minutes on average (137 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Alistar and Nautilus played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Alistar's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Alistar vs Nautilus Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Alistar vs Nautilus Win Rate by Game Length
Alistar's win rate against Nautilus by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Alistar's results against Nautilus in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Alistar vs Nautilus Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)NautilusAlistar gold at 15: −135
- First itemEvenAlistar: 12.7 min · Nautilus: 12.7 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenAlistar wins 52.2% of 69 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenAlistar wins 58.3% of 60 games
What Alistar Changes Against Nautilus
Alistar players don't meaningfully change their setup against Nautilus: no item, rune, spell or skill order differs by 3 points or more beyond the margin of error. The usual build applies.
Best Alistar Build vs Nautilus
Usual Alistar build (Support)
78.6% win rate · 14 games
Against Nautilus
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 10 of 48 Alistar games against Nautilus carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Alistar's standard build instead.
- Alistar usually completes Locket of the Iron Solari first, at 12.7 min (median of 76 games).
- Nautilus usually completes Locket of the Iron Solari first, at 12.7 min (median of 87 games).
- Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Alistar Runes vs Nautilus
Usual Alistar runes (Support)
Unsealed Spellbook
70.0% win rate · 90 games
Against Nautilus
Too few games for a matchup-specific rune page yet — use the usual page.
Plan your Alistar draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Alistar matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.20. The table below shows Alistar's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Alistar build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Alistar Matchups
Hardest for Alistar
Easiest for Alistar
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Alistar vs Nautilus FAQ - Patch 26.20
Who wins Alistar vs Nautilus?
Current data slightly favors Alistar, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Alistar wins 56.1% of 139 games (95% range 47.8–64.1%).
What is Alistar's win rate against Nautilus?
Alistar wins 56.1% of 139 Support games against Nautilus on patch 26.20 (95% range 47.8–64.1%). Based on both champions' overall Support win rates, 51.8% would be expected.
Does Alistar counter Nautilus?
Not clearly. Alistar wins 56.1% of 139 games against Nautilus, and the 95% range (47.8–64.1%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Alistar or Nautilus?
Nautilus usually wins the lane: 135 gold ahead of Alistar at 15 minutes on average (137 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Alistar outscale Nautilus?
Not measurably: Alistar's win rate against Nautilus in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.
When is Nautilus strongest against Alistar?
Nautilus is measurably ahead in: Lane (15 min).
What should Alistar build against Nautilus?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Alistar's usual Support core: Locket of the Iron Solari, Frozen Heart, Thornmail.
What runes should Alistar use against Nautilus?
Use Alistar's usual Unsealed Spellbook page (Inspiration + Sorcery); there are too few games for a matchup-specific page.