- Win Rate
- 49.6%
- Pick Rate
- 9.4%
- Ban Rate
- 32.9%
Caitlyn vs Varus
- Patch
- 26.21
- Games
- 18,831
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Nov 3, 2026 UTC
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
Caitlyn vs Varus is a very close matchup in LoL patch 26.21. Varus wins with a 50.3% win rate (+0.7%) over Caitlyn based on 459 games. Caitlyn wins the early laning phase while Varus scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Caitlyn build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Caitlyn vs Varus matchup.
Caitlyn Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Caitlyn performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Caitlyn vs Varus?
Caitlyn wins 48.3% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 43.6% and 53.0% (95% range).
- Expected
- 50.3% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −2.1 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 435 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.20
- −2.8 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.21 · Oct 27 – Nov 3
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Varus, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Caitlyn wins 48.3% of 435 games (95% range 43.6–53.0%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 50.3% for Caitlyn; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 127, within the margin of error (432 games).
- Caitlyn players pick Cleanse + Flash far more often against Varus: 1.7% of their other Bot games, 4.8% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Caitlyn and Varus played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Caitlyn's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Caitlyn vs Varus Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Caitlyn vs Varus Win Rate by Game Length
Caitlyn's win rate against Varus by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Caitlyn's results against Varus in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Caitlyn vs Varus Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenCaitlyn gold at 15: −127
- First itemCaitlynCaitlyn: 11.0 min · Varus: 11.9 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenCaitlyn wins 50.0% of 164 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenCaitlyn wins 47.5% of 236 games
What Caitlyn Changes Against Varus
Choices Caitlyn players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Cleanse + FlashSummoner spellsUsually1.7%vs Varus4.8%+3.1 pts42.9% WR here
Best Caitlyn Build vs Varus
Usual Caitlyn build (Bot)
80.8% win rate · 26 games
Against Varus
74.1% win rate · 27 games
Limited sample: 27 of 301 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.
- Caitlyn usually completes Hexoptics C44 first, at 11.0 min (median of 197 games).
- Varus usually completes Statikk Shiv first, at 11.9 min (median of 275 games).
- Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Caitlyn Runes vs Varus
Usual Caitlyn runes (Bot)
Lethal Tempo
58.6% win rate · 222 games
Against Varus
Fleet Footwork
55.6% win rate · 45 games
Plan your Caitlyn draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Caitlyn matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.21. The table below shows Caitlyn's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Caitlyn build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Caitlyn Matchups
Hardest for Caitlyn
Easiest for Caitlyn
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Caitlyn vs Varus FAQ - Patch 26.21
Who wins Caitlyn vs Varus?
Current data slightly favors Varus, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Caitlyn wins 48.3% of 435 games (95% range 43.6–53.0%).
What is Caitlyn's win rate against Varus?
Caitlyn wins 48.3% of 435 Bot games against Varus on patch 26.21 (95% range 43.6–53.0%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 50.3% would be expected.
Does Caitlyn counter Varus?
Not clearly. Caitlyn wins 48.3% of 435 games against Varus, and the 95% range (43.6–53.0%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Caitlyn or Varus?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 127, within the margin of error (432 games).
Does Caitlyn outscale Varus?
Not measurably: Caitlyn's win rate against Varus in games of 25 minutes or less and in longer games is within the margin of error of each other.
When is Varus strongest against Caitlyn?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Varus is ahead of Caitlyn beyond the margin of error.
What should Caitlyn build against Varus?
The most successful Caitlyn core against Varus is Rapid Firecannon, Lord Dominik's Regards, Infinity Edge (74.1% over 27 games).
What runes should Caitlyn use against Varus?
Fleet Footwork with Precision and Sorcery — 55.6% over 45 games against Varus. The biggest change against Varus: Cleanse + Flash (1.7% usually, 4.8% here).