Lucian - League of Legends Champion
Win Rate
48.4%
Pick Rate
2.9%
Ban Rate
1.3%

Lucianvs Ashe

FMarksmanAssassin
Patch26.18
Games2,924
LaneAll Lanes
TierAll Tiers
Last UpdatedSep 22, 2026 UTC
MethodologyData Methodology

Lucian vs Ashe is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.18. Ashe wins with a 53.9% win rate (+7.7%) over Lucian based on 143 games. Lucian wins the early laning phase while Ashe scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Lucian vs Ashe matchup.

Lucian Matchup Breakdown

Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Lucian performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.

Compare against an opponent
Lucian
Lucian
45.6%
VS
Ashe
54.4%
Ashe

Who wins Lucian vs Ashe?

Slight Ashe edgeLow confidence

Lucian wins 45.6% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 37.5% and 54.0% (95% range).

Expected
49.0%
From both champions' overall Bot win rates
Matchup effect
−3.4 pts
Observed minus expected
Sample
136 games
Lane: Bot

Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.18 · Sep 11 – Sep 14

Key takeaways

  • Current data slightly favors Ashe, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 45.6% of 136 games (95% range 37.5–54.0%).
  • Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 49.0% for Lucian; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
  • Lucian usually wins the lane: 397 gold ahead of Ashe at 15 minutes on average (134 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
  • Lucian players pick Cleanse + Flash far more often against Ashe: 2.0% of their other Bot games, 12.5% here.
How we calculate this

Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.

A game only counts when Lucian and Ashe played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.

The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.

Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.

"What changes" compares Lucian's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).

Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.

Lucian vs Ashe Laning Stats

LucianAshe

At 15 minutes

Gold difference
+397
Lucian ahead
95% range +99 to +695
XP difference
+49
Within the margin of error
95% range −132 to +230
CS difference
+6.8
Lucian ahead
95% range +2.0 to +11.5
3.89
Kills before 15 min
2.93
2.84
Deaths before 15 min
3.21
18.4%
First blood
11.0%

Solo kills are tracked from this patch on — 0 games have them so far, shown from 30.

Whole-game averages

6.7
CS / min
6.4
836
DMG / min
790
13,824
Gold / game
13,388
197
Heal / min
115
469
DMG Mitigated / min
381
0.0
CC / min
1.6

Lucian vs Ashe Win Rate by Game Length

Lucian's win rate against Ashe by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.

Too few games
Under 20 min
17 games
Too few games
20–25 min
15 games
56.7%
25–30 min
30 games
44.7%
30–35 min
38 games
38.9%
35+ min
36 games
Lucian vs Ashe95% rangeLucian usual (Bot)

No game length stands out: Lucian's results against Ashe in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.

Lucian vs Ashe Power Spikes

Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.

  1. Lane (15 min)LucianLucian gold at 15: +397
  2. First itemLucianLucian: 10.6 min · Ashe: 12.4 min
  3. Games under 20 minInsufficient data
  4. 20–30 min gamesEvenLucian wins 51.1% of 45 games
  5. 30+ min gamesEvenLucian wins 41.9% of 74 games

What Lucian Changes Against Ashe

Choices Lucian players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.

  • CleanseFlash
    Cleanse + FlashSummoner spells
    Usually
    2.0%
    vs Ashe
    12.5%
    +10.5 pts
  • FlashBarrier
    Flash + BarrierSummoner spells
    Usually
    85.0%
    vs Ashe
    77.9%
    −7.0 pts47.2% WR here
  • Plated Steelcaps
    Usually
    8.0%
    vs Ashe
    2.9%
    −5.1 pts

Best Lucian Build vs Ashe

Usual Lucian build (Bot)

69.6% win rate · 46 games

Limited sample: 24 of 100 games finished this exact core, so treat it as an observation rather than a recommendation.

  • Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 10.6 min (median of 100 games).
  • Ashe usually completes Kraken Slayer first, at 12.4 min (median of 59 games).
  • Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.

Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.

Best Lucian Runes vs Ashe

Usual Lucian runes (Bot)

Press the AttackPress the Attack
Precision
Presence of MindLegend: BloodlineCut Down
Inspiration
Cash BackTriple Tonic
Attack Speed (offense)Adaptive Force (flex)Health Scaling (defense)

67.9% win rate · 28 games

Against Ashe

Press the AttackPress the Attack
Precision
Presence of MindLegend: BloodlineCoup de Grace
Inspiration
Biscuit DeliveryMagical Footwear
Attack Speed (offense)Adaptive Force (flex)Health Scaling (defense)

46.4% win rate · 56 games


Lucian matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.18. The table below shows Lucian's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.

Other Lucian Matchups

Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.

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Lucian vs Ashe FAQ - Patch 26.18

Who wins Lucian vs Ashe?

Current data slightly favors Ashe, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 45.6% of 136 games (95% range 37.5–54.0%).

What is Lucian's win rate against Ashe?

Lucian wins 45.6% of 136 Bot games against Ashe on patch 26.18 (95% range 37.5–54.0%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 49.0% would be expected.

Does Lucian counter Ashe?

Not clearly. Lucian wins 45.6% of 136 games against Ashe, and the 95% range (37.5–54.0%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.

Who wins lane, Lucian or Ashe?

Lucian usually wins the lane: 397 gold ahead of Ashe at 15 minutes on average (134 games with a 15-minute snapshot).

Does Lucian outscale Ashe?

There are too few games of each length to tell yet.

When is Ashe strongest against Lucian?

On current data there is no stage of the game where Ashe is ahead of Lucian beyond the margin of error.

What should Lucian build against Ashe?

The most successful Lucian core against Ashe is Navori Flickerblade, Essence Reaver, Infinity Edge (58.3% over 24 games). The biggest change against Ashe: Plated Steelcaps (8.0% usually, 2.9% here).

What runes should Lucian use against Ashe?

Press the Attack with Precision and Inspiration — 46.4% over 56 games against Ashe. The biggest change against Ashe: Cleanse + Flash (2.0% usually, 12.5% here).