Lucian, League of Legends champion
Win Rate
45.9%
Pick Rate
2.9%
Ban Rate
1.3%

Lucianvs Vayne

Lucian F TierMarksmanAssassin
Patch26.19
Games2,650
LaneAll Lanes
TierAll Tiers
Last UpdatedOct 2, 2026 UTC
MethodologyData Methodology

Lucian vs Vayne is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Lucian wins with a 56.3% win rate (+12.5%) over Vayne based on 48 games. Lucian holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Lucian vs Vayne matchup.

Lucian Matchup Breakdown

Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Lucian performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.

Compare against an opponent
Lucian
Lucian
47.2%
VS
Vayne
52.8%
Vayne

Who wins Lucian vs Vayne?

Slight Vayne edgeLow confidence

Lucian wins 47.2% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 38.7% and 55.9% (95% range).

Expected
46.4%
From both champions' overall Bot win rates
Matchup effect
+0.8 pts
Observed minus expected
Sample
125 games
Lane: Bot
vs patch 26.18
−6.0 pts
Within normal patch-to-patch noise

Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28

Key takeaways

  • Current data slightly favors Vayne, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 47.2% of 125 games (95% range 38.7–55.9%).
  • Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 46.4% for Lucian; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
  • Lucian usually wins the lane: 726 gold ahead of Vayne at 15 minutes on average (124 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
  • Lucian players pick Doran's Bow + Health Potion + Health Potion + Stealth Ward much less often against Vayne: 29.3% of their other Bot games, 20.0% here.
How we calculate this

Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.

A game only counts when Lucian and Vayne played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.

The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.

Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.

"What changes" compares Lucian's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).

Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.

Lucian vs Vayne Laning Stats

LucianVayne

At 15 minutes

Gold difference
+726
Lucian ahead
95% range +465 to +986
XP difference
+416
Lucian ahead
95% range +257 to +575
CS difference
+15.3
Lucian ahead
95% range +10.9 to +19.7
3.46
Kills before 15 min
2.73
2.68
Deaths before 15 min
3.09
0.31
Solo kills before 15 min
0.17
18.4%
First blood
10.4%

Whole-game averages

6.9
CS / min
6.2
917
DMG / min
822
13,998
Gold / game
13,434
184
Heal / min
205
448
DMG Mitigated / min
498
0.1
CC / min
0.4

Lucian vs Vayne Win Rate by Game Length

Lucian's win rate against Vayne by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.

Too few games
Under 20 min
10 games
Too few games
20–25 min
16 games
46.5%
25–30 min
43 games
44.4%
30–35 min
36 games
Too few games
35+ min
20 games
Lucian vs Vayne95% rangeLucian usual (Bot)

No game length stands out: Lucian's results against Vayne in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.

Lucian vs Vayne Power Spikes

Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.

  1. Lane (15 min)LucianLucian gold at 15: +726
  2. First itemLucianLucian: 10.4 min · Vayne: 13.0 min
  3. Games under 20 minInsufficient data
  4. 20–30 min gamesEvenLucian wins 49.2% of 59 games
  5. 30+ min gamesEvenLucian wins 44.6% of 56 games

What Lucian Changes Against Vayne

Choices Lucian players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.

  • Doran's BowHealth PotionHealth PotionStealth Ward
    Doran's Bow + Health Potion + Health Potion + Stealth WardStarting items
    Usually
    29.3%
    vs Vayne
    20.0%
    −9.3 pts52.0% WR here

Best Lucian Build vs Vayne

Usual Lucian build (Bot)

59.3% win rate · 91 games

Against Vayne

Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 11 of 94 Lucian games against Vayne carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Lucian's standard build instead.

  • Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 10.4 min (median of 90 games).
  • Vayne usually completes Blade of The Ruined King first, at 13.0 min (median of 61 games).
  • Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.

Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.

Best Lucian Runes vs Vayne

Usual Lucian runes (Bot)

Press the AttackPress the Attack
Precision
Presence of MindLegend: AlacrityCut Down
Inspiration
Cash BackTriple Tonic
Attack Speed (offense)Adaptive Force (flex)Health (defense)

71.4% win rate · 21 games

Against Vayne

Press the AttackPress the Attack
Precision
Presence of MindLegend: BloodlineCoup de Grace
Inspiration
Biscuit DeliveryMagical Footwear
Attack Speed (offense)Adaptive Force (flex)Health Scaling (defense)

46.0% win rate · 63 games

MetaBot Desktop

Plan your Lucian draft in Draft Lab

Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.

  • Full 5v5 draft board
  • Lane matchup win rates
  • Pick and ban suggestions
Draft Lab in MetaBot Desktop

Lucian matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Lucian's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.

Other Lucian Matchups

Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.

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Lucian vs Vayne FAQ - Patch 26.19

Who wins Lucian vs Vayne?

Current data slightly favors Vayne, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 47.2% of 125 games (95% range 38.7–55.9%).

What is Lucian's win rate against Vayne?

Lucian wins 47.2% of 125 Bot games against Vayne on patch 26.19 (95% range 38.7–55.9%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 46.4% would be expected.

Does Lucian counter Vayne?

Not clearly. Lucian wins 47.2% of 125 games against Vayne, and the 95% range (38.7–55.9%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.

Who wins lane, Lucian or Vayne?

Lucian usually wins the lane: 726 gold ahead of Vayne at 15 minutes on average (124 games with a 15-minute snapshot).

Does Lucian outscale Vayne?

There are too few games of each length to tell yet.

When is Vayne strongest against Lucian?

On current data there is no stage of the game where Vayne is ahead of Lucian beyond the margin of error.

What should Lucian build against Vayne?

There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Lucian's usual Bot core: Navori Flickerblade, Essence Reaver, Maw of Malmortius. The biggest change against Vayne: Doran's Bow + Health Potion + Health Potion + Stealth Ward (29.3% usually, 20.0% here).

What runes should Lucian use against Vayne?

Press the Attack with Precision and Inspiration — 46.0% over 63 games against Vayne.