- Win Rate
- 50.2%
- Pick Rate
- 3.4%
- Ban Rate
- 1.4%
Lucian vs Smolder
- Patch
- 26.22
- Games
- 2,103
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Nov 6, 2026 UTC
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
Lucian vs Smolder is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.22. Smolder wins with a 55.6% win rate (+11.1%) over Lucian based on 72 games. Lucian wins the early laning phase while Smolder scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Lucian vs Smolder matchup.
Lucian Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Lucian performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Lucian vs Smolder?
Lucian wins 43.7% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 32.7% and 55.2% (95% range).
- Expected
- 46.8% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −3.2 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 71 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.21
- +0.0 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.22 · Nov 4 – Nov 6
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Smolder, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 43.7% of 71 games (95% range 32.7–55.2%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 46.8% for Lucian; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Lucian usually wins the lane: 714 gold ahead of Smolder at 15 minutes on average (71 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
- Lucian players pick Magical Footwear much less often against Smolder: 59.8% of their other Bot games, 43.7% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Lucian and Smolder played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Lucian's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Lucian vs Smolder Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Lucian vs Smolder Win Rate by Game Length
Lucian's win rate against Smolder by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Lucian's results against Smolder in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Lucian vs Smolder Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)LucianLucian gold at 15: +714
- First itemLucianLucian: 10.9 min · Smolder: 11.8 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Lucian Changes Against Smolder
Choices Lucian players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Magical FootwearRuneUsually59.8%vs Smolder43.7%−16.1 pts35.5% WR here
Presence of MindRuneUsually81.8%vs Smolder67.6%−14.2 pts50.0% WR here
Biscuit DeliveryRuneUsually62.0%vs Smolder49.3%−12.7 pts42.9% WR here
Usually14.7%vs Smolder23.9%+9.2 pts
Attack Speed (offense)Stat shardUsually88.6%vs Smolder80.3%−8.3 pts50.9% WR here
ElectrocuteKeystoneUsually7.3%vs Smolder14.1%+6.7 pts
Cleanse + FlashSummoner spellsUsually3.1%vs Smolder8.5%+5.3 pts- E > Q > Wthe E > Q > W skill orderSkill priorityUsually0.6%vs Smolder4.2%+3.6 pts
Best Lucian Build vs Smolder
Usual Lucian build (Bot)
58.5% win rate · 294 games
Against Smolder
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 10 of 55 Lucian games against Smolder carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Lucian's standard build instead.
- Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 10.9 min (median of 52 games).
- Smolder usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 11.8 min (median of 63 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Lucian Runes vs Smolder
Usual Lucian runes (Bot)
Press the Attack
64.1% win rate · 39 games
Against Smolder
Press the Attack
40.9% win rate · 22 games
Plan your Lucian draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Lucian matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.22. The table below shows Lucian's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Lucian Matchups
Hardest for Lucian
Easiest for Lucian
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Lucian vs Smolder FAQ - Patch 26.22
Who wins Lucian vs Smolder?
Current data slightly favors Smolder, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 43.7% of 71 games (95% range 32.7–55.2%).
What is Lucian's win rate against Smolder?
Lucian wins 43.7% of 71 Bot games against Smolder on patch 26.22 (95% range 32.7–55.2%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 46.8% would be expected.
Does Lucian counter Smolder?
Not clearly. Lucian wins 43.7% of 71 games against Smolder, and the 95% range (32.7–55.2%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Lucian or Smolder?
Lucian usually wins the lane: 714 gold ahead of Smolder at 15 minutes on average (71 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Lucian outscale Smolder?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Smolder strongest against Lucian?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Smolder is ahead of Lucian beyond the margin of error.
What should Lucian build against Smolder?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Lucian's usual Bot core: Navori Flickerblade, Essence Reaver, Infinity Edge. The biggest change against Smolder: Ionian Boots of Lucidity (14.7% usually, 23.9% here).
What runes should Lucian use against Smolder?
Press the Attack with Precision and Inspiration — 40.9% over 22 games against Smolder. The biggest change against Smolder: Magical Footwear (59.8% usually, 43.7% here).