- Win Rate
- 47.1%
- Pick Rate
- 2.2%
- Ban Rate
- 7.4%
Mel vs Caitlyn
- Patch
- 26.22
- Games
- 4,271
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Nov 14, 2026 UTC
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
Mel vs Caitlyn (Bot): Mel wins 50.7% of 134 ranked games over the last 2 patches (gold diff at 15: +418). Patch 26.22 build & runes.
Mel50.7%
Current data slightly favors Mel, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Mel wins 50.7% of 134 games (95% range 42.4–59.1%).
Mel Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Mel performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Mel vs Caitlyn?
Mel wins 50.7% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 42.4% and 59.1% (95% range).
- Expected
- 50.2% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- +0.5 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 134 games Lane: Bot · Patch 26.21–26.22
- vs patch 26.21
- −8.9 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.21–26.22 · Oct 27 – Nov 14
The headline win rate covers patches 26.21–26.22 (134 games). The lane, game-length, build and rune sections below use patch 26.22 only (63 games).
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Mel, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Mel wins 50.7% of 134 games (95% range 42.4–59.1%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 50.2% for Mel; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 418, within the margin of error (61 games).
- Mel players pick Flash + Barrier far more often against Caitlyn: 13.6% of their other Bot games, 30.2% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Mel and Caitlyn played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Mel's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Mel vs Caitlyn Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Mel vs Caitlyn Win Rate by Game Length
Mel's win rate against Caitlyn by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Mel's results against Caitlyn in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Mel vs Caitlyn Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenMel gold at 15: +418
- First itemMelMel: 11.1 min · Caitlyn: 12.3 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Mel Changes Against Caitlyn
Choices Mel players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Flash + BarrierSummoner spellsUsually13.6%vs Caitlyn30.2%+16.6 pts
ShadowflameItemUsually53.2%vs Caitlyn66.7%+13.5 pts42.9% WR here
Cosmic DriveItemUsually22.0%vs Caitlyn11.1%−10.9 pts
Banshee's VeilItemUsually3.3%vs Caitlyn9.5%+6.2 pts
Best Mel Build vs Caitlyn
Against Caitlyn
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 7 of 45 Mel games against Caitlyn carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Mel's standard build instead.
- Mel usually completes Luden's Echo first, at 11.1 min (median of 34 games).
- Caitlyn usually completes Hexoptics C44 first, at 12.3 min (median of 35 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Mel Runes vs Caitlyn
Usual Mel runes (Bot)
Dark Harvest
65.3% win rate · 49 games
Against Caitlyn
Too few games for a matchup-specific rune page yet — use the usual page.
Plan your Mel draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Mel matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.22. The table below shows Mel's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Mel build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Mel Matchups
Hardest for Mel
Easiest for Mel
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Mel vs Caitlyn FAQ - Patch 26.21–26.22
Who wins Mel vs Caitlyn?
Current data slightly favors Mel, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Mel wins 50.7% of 134 games (95% range 42.4–59.1%).
What is Mel's win rate against Caitlyn?
Mel wins 50.7% of 134 Bot games against Caitlyn on patch 26.21–26.22 (95% range 42.4–59.1%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 50.2% would be expected.
Does Mel counter Caitlyn?
Not clearly. Mel wins 50.7% of 134 games against Caitlyn, and the 95% range (42.4–59.1%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Mel or Caitlyn?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 418, within the margin of error (61 games).
Does Mel outscale Caitlyn?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Caitlyn strongest against Mel?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Caitlyn is ahead of Mel beyond the margin of error.
What should Mel build against Caitlyn?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Mel's usual Bot core: Luden's Echo, Stormsurge, Shadowflame. The biggest change against Caitlyn: Shadowflame (53.2% usually, 66.7% here).
What runes should Mel use against Caitlyn?
Use Mel's usual Dark Harvest page (Domination + Sorcery); there are too few games for a matchup-specific page. The biggest change against Caitlyn: Flash + Barrier (13.6% usually, 30.2% here).