- Win Rate
- 48.3%
- Pick Rate
- 6.2%
- Ban Rate
- 22.1%
Caitlyn vs Mel
- Patch
- 26.22
- Games
- 12,059
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Nov 14, 2026 UTC
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
Caitlyn vs Mel (Bot): Caitlyn wins 49.3% of 134 ranked games over the last 2 patches (gold diff at 15: -418). Patch 26.22 build & runes.
Caitlyn49.3%
Current data slightly favors Mel, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Caitlyn wins 49.3% of 134 games (95% range 40.9–57.6%).
Caitlyn Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Caitlyn performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Caitlyn vs Mel?
Caitlyn wins 49.3% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 40.9% and 57.6% (95% range).
- Expected
- 49.8% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −0.5 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 134 games Lane: Bot · Patch 26.21–26.22
- vs patch 26.21
- +8.9 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.21–26.22 · Oct 27 – Nov 14
The headline win rate covers patches 26.21–26.22 (134 games). The lane, game-length, build and rune sections below use patch 26.22 only (63 games).
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Mel, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Caitlyn wins 49.3% of 134 games (95% range 40.9–57.6%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 49.8% for Caitlyn; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 418, within the margin of error (61 games).
- Caitlyn players pick Coup de Grace far more often against Mel: 63.6% of their other Bot games, 82.5% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Caitlyn and Mel played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Caitlyn's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Caitlyn vs Mel Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Caitlyn vs Mel Win Rate by Game Length
Caitlyn's win rate against Mel by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Caitlyn's results against Mel in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Caitlyn vs Mel Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenCaitlyn gold at 15: −418
- First itemMelCaitlyn: 12.3 min · Mel: 11.1 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Caitlyn Changes Against Mel
Choices Caitlyn players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Coup de GraceRuneUsually63.6%vs Mel82.5%+18.9 pts48.1% WR here
Cut DownRuneUsually26.3%vs Mel7.9%−18.4 pts
Health Scaling (defense)Stat shardUsually74.8%vs Mel90.5%+15.7 pts52.6% WR here- Health (defense)Stat shardUsually24.2%vs Mel9.5%−14.7 pts
Fleet FootworkKeystoneUsually9.7%vs Mel22.2%+12.5 pts- Q > E > Wthe Q > E > W skill orderSkill priorityUsually11.3%vs Mel22.2%+11.0 pts
Lethal TempoKeystoneUsually78.9%vs Mel68.3%−10.7 pts53.5% WR here- Q > W > Ethe Q > W > E skill orderSkill priorityUsually87.9%vs Mel77.8%−10.2 pts55.1% WR here
Best Caitlyn Build vs Mel
Usual Caitlyn build (Bot)
90.0% win rate · 10 games
Against Mel
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 8 of 42 Caitlyn games against Mel carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Caitlyn's standard build instead.
- Caitlyn usually completes Hexoptics C44 first, at 12.3 min (median of 35 games).
- Mel usually completes Luden's Echo first, at 11.1 min (median of 34 games).
- Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Caitlyn Runes vs Mel
Usual Caitlyn runes (Bot)
Lethal Tempo
73.9% win rate · 23 games
Against Mel
Lethal Tempo
48.6% win rate · 37 games
Plan your Caitlyn draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Caitlyn matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.22. The table below shows Caitlyn's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Caitlyn build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Caitlyn Matchups
Hardest for Caitlyn
Easiest for Caitlyn
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Caitlyn vs Mel FAQ - Patch 26.21–26.22
Who wins Caitlyn vs Mel?
Current data slightly favors Mel, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Caitlyn wins 49.3% of 134 games (95% range 40.9–57.6%).
What is Caitlyn's win rate against Mel?
Caitlyn wins 49.3% of 134 Bot games against Mel on patch 26.21–26.22 (95% range 40.9–57.6%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 49.8% would be expected.
Does Caitlyn counter Mel?
Not clearly. Caitlyn wins 49.3% of 134 games against Mel, and the 95% range (40.9–57.6%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Caitlyn or Mel?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 418, within the margin of error (61 games).
Does Caitlyn outscale Mel?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Mel strongest against Caitlyn?
Mel is measurably ahead in: First item.
What should Caitlyn build against Mel?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Caitlyn's usual Bot core: Stormrazor, Yun Tal Wildarrows, Infinity Edge.
What runes should Caitlyn use against Mel?
Lethal Tempo with Precision and Sorcery — 48.6% over 37 games against Mel. The biggest change against Mel: Coup de Grace (63.6% usually, 82.5% here).