Twisted Fatevs Caitlyn
Twisted Fate vs Caitlyn is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Twisted Fate wins with a 56.3% win rate (+12.5%) over Caitlyn based on 16 games. Twisted Fate wins the early laning phase while Caitlyn scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Twisted Fate build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Twisted Fate vs Caitlyn matchup.
Twisted Fate Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Twisted Fate performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Twisted Fate vs Caitlyn?
Twisted Fate wins 59.3% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 40.7% and 75.5% (95% range).
- Expected
- 46.5% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- +12.7 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 27 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.18
- — Not enough games on both patches
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28
They also met in another lane (Mid): 3 games, Twisted Fate won 33.3%.
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Twisted Fate, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Twisted Fate wins 59.3% of 27 games (95% range 40.7–75.5%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 46.5% for Twisted Fate; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Twisted Fate players pick Berserker's Greaves far more often against Caitlyn: 54.6% of their other Bot games, 77.8% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Twisted Fate and Caitlyn played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Twisted Fate's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Twisted Fate vs Caitlyn Laning Stats
Only 27 games have a 15-minute snapshot so far — the lane-phase numbers appear from 30.
Whole-game averages
Twisted Fate vs Caitlyn Win Rate by Game Length
Twisted Fate's win rate against Caitlyn by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Twisted Fate's results against Caitlyn in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Twisted Fate vs Caitlyn Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)Insufficient data
- First itemInsufficient data
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Twisted Fate Changes Against Caitlyn
Choices Twisted Fate players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Berserker's GreavesBootsUsually54.6%vs Caitlyn77.8%+23.2 pts52.4% WR here
Statikk ShivItemUsually19.5%vs Caitlynunder 2%−19.5 pts
Bone PlatingRuneUsually19.5%vs Caitlynunder 2%−19.5 pts
Boots of SwiftnessBootsUsually16.2%vs Caitlynunder 2%−16.2 pts
Last StandRuneUsually15.1%vs Caitlynunder 2%−15.1 pts
StormsurgeItemUsually4.3%vs Caitlyn18.5%+14.2 pts
Sorcerer's ShoesBootsUsually8.6%vs Caitlyn22.2%+13.6 pts
Luden's EchoItemUsually9.2%vs Caitlyn22.2%+13.0 pts
Best Twisted Fate Build vs Caitlyn
Usual Twisted Fate build (Bot)
46.2% win rate · 13 games
Against Caitlyn
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 2 of 24 Twisted Fate games against Caitlyn carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Twisted Fate's standard build instead.
- Skill priority: E > W > Q — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Twisted Fate Runes vs Caitlyn
Usual Twisted Fate runes (Bot)
Arcane Comet
33.3% win rate · 15 games
Against Caitlyn
Too few games for a matchup-specific rune page yet — use the usual page.
Plan your Twisted Fate draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Twisted Fate matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Twisted Fate's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Twisted Fate build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Twisted Fate Matchups
Hardest for Twisted Fate
Easiest for Twisted Fate
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Twisted Fate vs Caitlyn FAQ - Patch 26.19
Who wins Twisted Fate vs Caitlyn?
Current data slightly favors Twisted Fate, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Twisted Fate wins 59.3% of 27 games (95% range 40.7–75.5%).
What is Twisted Fate's win rate against Caitlyn?
Twisted Fate wins 59.3% of 27 Bot games against Caitlyn on patch 26.19 (95% range 40.7–75.5%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 46.5% would be expected.
Does Twisted Fate counter Caitlyn?
Not clearly. Twisted Fate wins 59.3% of 27 games against Caitlyn, and the 95% range (40.7–75.5%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Twisted Fate or Caitlyn?
There are not enough games with a 15-minute snapshot yet (27) to say who wins lane.
Does Twisted Fate outscale Caitlyn?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Caitlyn strongest against Twisted Fate?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Caitlyn is ahead of Twisted Fate beyond the margin of error.
What should Twisted Fate build against Caitlyn?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Twisted Fate's usual Bot core: Kraken Slayer, Terminus, Guinsoo's Rageblade. The biggest change against Caitlyn: Berserker's Greaves (54.6% usually, 77.8% here).
What runes should Twisted Fate use against Caitlyn?
Use Twisted Fate's usual Arcane Comet page (Sorcery + Resolve); there are too few games for a matchup-specific page. The biggest change against Caitlyn: Bone Plating (19.5% usually, under 2% here).