- Win Rate
- 46.7%
- Pick Rate
- 3.5%
- Ban Rate
- 1.6%
Lucian vs Varus
- Patch
- 26.20
- Games
- 4,646
- Lane
- All Lanes
- Tier
- All Tiers
- Last Updated
- Oct 15, 2026 UTC
- Methodology
- Data Methodology
- Author
- Dakota Chinnick
Lucian vs Varus is a very close matchup in LoL patch 26.20. Lucian wins with a 50.0% win rate (+0.0%) over Varus based on 74 games. Lucian wins the early laning phase while Varus scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Lucian vs Varus matchup.
Lucian Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Lucian performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Lucian vs Varus?
Lucian wins 49.3% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 38.0% and 60.7% (95% range).
- Expected
- 47.5% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- +1.8 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 71 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.19
- −2.9 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.20 · Oct 9 – Oct 11
Key takeaways
- Lucian vs Varus is an even matchup: Lucian wins 49.3% of 71 games, and the 95% range (38.0–60.7%) comfortably includes 50%.
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 47.5% for Lucian; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Lucian usually wins the lane: 494 gold ahead of Varus at 15 minutes on average (70 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
- Lucian players pick Infinity Edge far more often against Varus: 64.9% of their other Bot games, 78.9% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Lucian and Varus played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Lucian's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Lucian vs Varus Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Lucian vs Varus Win Rate by Game Length
Lucian's win rate against Varus by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Lucian's results against Varus in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Lucian vs Varus Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)LucianLucian gold at 15: +494
- First itemLucianLucian: 10.3 min · Varus: 12.0 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesEvenLucian wins 47.5% of 40 games
What Lucian Changes Against Varus
Choices Lucian players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Infinity EdgeItemUsually64.9%vs Varus78.9%+14.0 pts55.4% WR here
Usually31.2%vs Varus45.1%+13.9 pts68.8% WR here
Cleanse + FlashSummoner spellsUsually3.5%vs Varus14.1%+10.6 pts
Flash + TeleportSummoner spellsUsuallyunder 0.5%vs Varus4.2%+4.2 pts
Usually1.5%vs Varus5.6%+4.2 pts
Best Lucian Build vs Varus
Usual Lucian build (Bot)
55.6% win rate · 594 games
Against Varus
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 12 of 59 Lucian games against Varus carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Lucian's standard build instead.
- Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 10.3 min (median of 57 games).
- Varus usually completes Statikk Shiv first, at 12.0 min (median of 46 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Lucian Runes vs Varus
Usual Lucian runes (Bot)
Press the Attack
59.0% win rate · 83 games
Against Varus
Press the Attack
39.3% win rate · 28 games
Plan your Lucian draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Lucian matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.20. The table below shows Lucian's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Lucian Matchups
Hardest for Lucian
Easiest for Lucian
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Lucian vs Varus FAQ - Patch 26.20
Who wins Lucian vs Varus?
Lucian vs Varus is an even matchup: Lucian wins 49.3% of 71 games, and the 95% range (38.0–60.7%) comfortably includes 50%.
What is Lucian's win rate against Varus?
Lucian wins 49.3% of 71 Bot games against Varus on patch 26.20 (95% range 38.0–60.7%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 47.5% would be expected.
Does Lucian counter Varus?
Not clearly. Lucian wins 49.3% of 71 games against Varus, and the 95% range (38.0–60.7%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Lucian or Varus?
Lucian usually wins the lane: 494 gold ahead of Varus at 15 minutes on average (70 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Lucian outscale Varus?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Varus strongest against Lucian?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Varus is ahead of Lucian beyond the margin of error.
What should Lucian build against Varus?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Lucian's usual Bot core: Navori Flickerblade, Essence Reaver, Lord Dominik's Regards. The biggest change against Varus: Infinity Edge (64.9% usually, 78.9% here).
What runes should Lucian use against Varus?
Press the Attack with Precision and Inspiration — 39.3% over 28 games against Varus. The biggest change against Varus: Cleanse + Flash (3.5% usually, 14.1% here).