Vaynevs Lucian
Vayne vs Lucian is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.19. Lucian wins with a 56.3% win rate (+12.5%) over Vayne based on 48 games. Lucian holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Vayne build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Vayne vs Lucian matchup.
Vayne Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Vayne performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Vayne vs Lucian?
Vayne wins 52.8% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 44.1% and 61.3% (95% range).
- Expected
- 53.6% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −0.8 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 125 games Lane: Bot
- vs patch 26.18
- +6.0 pts Within normal patch-to-patch noise
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.19 · Sep 24 – Sep 28
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Vayne, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Vayne wins 52.8% of 125 games (95% range 44.1–61.3%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 53.6% for Vayne; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Lucian usually wins the lane: 726 gold ahead of Vayne at 15 minutes on average (124 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Vayne and Lucian played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Vayne's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Vayne vs Lucian Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Whole-game averages
Vayne vs Lucian Win Rate by Game Length
Vayne's win rate against Lucian by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Vayne's results against Lucian in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Vayne vs Lucian Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)LucianVayne gold at 15: −726
- First itemLucianVayne: 13.0 min · Lucian: 10.4 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesEvenVayne wins 50.8% of 59 games
- 30+ min gamesEvenVayne wins 55.4% of 56 games
What Vayne Changes Against Lucian
Vayne players don't meaningfully change their setup against Lucian: no item, rune, spell or skill order differs by 3 points or more beyond the margin of error. The usual build applies.
Best Vayne Build vs Lucian
Usual Vayne build (Bot)
84.6% win rate · 13 games
Against Lucian
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 17 of 82 Vayne games against Lucian carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Vayne's standard build instead.
- Vayne usually completes Blade of The Ruined King first, at 13.0 min (median of 61 games).
- Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 10.4 min (median of 90 games).
- Skill priority: Q > W > E — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Vayne Runes vs Lucian
Usual Vayne runes (Bot)
Lethal Tempo
75.0% win rate · 24 games
Against Lucian
Lethal Tempo
57.4% win rate · 68 games
Plan your Vayne draft in Draft Lab
Draft Lab lays out both teams lane by lane with live matchup win rates, damage profiles and game-phase lean, and suggests picks and bans from current meta data.
- Full 5v5 draft board
- Lane matchup win rates
- Pick and ban suggestions
Vayne matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.19. The table below shows Vayne's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Vayne build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Vayne Matchups
Hardest for Vayne
Easiest for Vayne
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
Help us maintain accuracy! If you notice incorrect stats, missing data, or any issues, your feedback directly improves the quality of our data for the entire community.
Vayne vs Lucian FAQ - Patch 26.19
Who wins Vayne vs Lucian?
Current data slightly favors Vayne, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Vayne wins 52.8% of 125 games (95% range 44.1–61.3%).
What is Vayne's win rate against Lucian?
Vayne wins 52.8% of 125 Bot games against Lucian on patch 26.19 (95% range 44.1–61.3%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 53.6% would be expected.
Does Vayne counter Lucian?
Not clearly. Vayne wins 52.8% of 125 games against Lucian, and the 95% range (44.1–61.3%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Vayne or Lucian?
Lucian usually wins the lane: 726 gold ahead of Vayne at 15 minutes on average (124 games with a 15-minute snapshot).
Does Vayne outscale Lucian?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Lucian strongest against Vayne?
Lucian is measurably ahead in: Lane (15 min), First item.
What should Vayne build against Lucian?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Vayne's usual Bot core: Kraken Slayer, Blade of The Ruined King, Phantom Dancer.
What runes should Vayne use against Lucian?
Lethal Tempo with Precision and Resolve — 57.4% over 68 games against Lucian.