Melvs Lucian
Mel vs Lucian is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.18. Lucian wins with a 54.0% win rate (+8.1%) over Mel based on 37 games. Mel wins the early laning phase while Lucian scales better into the late game. Below you'll find the best Mel build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Mel vs Lucian matchup.
Mel Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Mel performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Mel vs Lucian?
Mel wins 47.2% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 32.0% and 63.0% (95% range).
- Expected
- 49.2% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- −2.0 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 36 games Lane: Bot
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.18 · Sep 11 – Sep 14
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Lucian, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Mel wins 47.2% of 36 games (95% range 32.0–63.0%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 49.2% for Mel; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 311, within the margin of error (36 games).
- Mel players pick Blackfire Torch far more often against Lucian: 24.1% of their other Bot games, 38.9% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Mel and Lucian played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Mel's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Mel vs Lucian Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Solo kills are tracked from this patch on — 0 games have them so far, shown from 30.
Whole-game averages
Mel vs Lucian Win Rate by Game Length
Mel's win rate against Lucian by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Mel's results against Lucian in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Mel vs Lucian Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenMel gold at 15: +311
- First itemEvenMel: 10.8 min · Lucian: 11.2 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Mel Changes Against Lucian
Choices Mel players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Blackfire TorchItemUsually24.1%vs Lucian38.9%+14.8 pts
Best Mel Build vs Lucian
Usual Mel build (Bot)
56.9% win rate · 102 games
Against Lucian
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 8 of 27 Mel games against Lucian carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Mel's standard build instead.
- Mel usually completes Luden's Echo first, at 10.8 min (median of 25 games).
- Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 11.2 min (median of 29 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Mel Runes vs Lucian
Usual Mel runes (Bot)
Arcane Comet
45.6% win rate · 401 games
Against Lucian
Too few games for a matchup-specific rune page yet — use the usual page.
Mel matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.18. The table below shows Mel's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Mel build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Mel Matchups
Hardest for Mel
Easiest for Mel
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
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Mel vs Lucian FAQ - Patch 26.18
Who wins Mel vs Lucian?
Current data slightly favors Lucian, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Mel wins 47.2% of 36 games (95% range 32.0–63.0%).
What is Mel's win rate against Lucian?
Mel wins 47.2% of 36 Bot games against Lucian on patch 26.18 (95% range 32.0–63.0%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 49.2% would be expected.
Does Mel counter Lucian?
Not clearly. Mel wins 47.2% of 36 games against Lucian, and the 95% range (32.0–63.0%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Mel or Lucian?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 311, within the margin of error (36 games).
Does Mel outscale Lucian?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Lucian strongest against Mel?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Lucian is ahead of Mel beyond the margin of error.
What should Mel build against Lucian?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Mel's usual Bot core: Luden's Echo, Shadowflame, Rabadon's Deathcap. The biggest change against Lucian: Blackfire Torch (24.1% usually, 38.9% here).
What runes should Mel use against Lucian?
Use Mel's usual Arcane Comet page (Sorcery + Precision); there are too few games for a matchup-specific page.