Lucianvs Mel
Lucian vs Mel is a decisive matchup in LoL patch 26.18. Lucian wins with a 54.0% win rate (+8.1%) over Mel based on 37 games. Lucian holds the advantage in both the early and late game. Below you'll find the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and strategies for the Lucian vs Mel matchup.
Lucian Matchup Breakdown
Use the dropdown to select an opponent and see a detailed breakdown of how Lucian performs against them. You'll get head-to-head win rates, laning stats, the best build and runes for the matchup, and early vs late game analysis — all based on real ranked data.
Who wins Lucian vs Mel?
Lucian wins 52.8% of these games. With this many games the true rate is most likely between 37.0% and 68.0% (95% range).
- Expected
- 50.8% From both champions' overall Bot win rates
- Matchup effect
- +2.0 pts Observed minus expected
- Sample
- 36 games Lane: Bot
Lane: Bot · Ranked Solo/Duo & Flex · North America server · All ranks · Patch 26.18 · Sep 11 – Sep 14
Key takeaways
- Current data slightly favors Lucian, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 52.8% of 36 games (95% range 37.0–68.0%).
- Both champions' overall Bot win rates predict 50.8% for Lucian; the result is within the margin of error of that, so this matchup mostly reflects the two champions' general strength.
- Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 311, within the margin of error (36 games).
- Lucian players pick Black Cleaver far more often against Mel: 4.9% of their other Bot games, 13.9% here.
How we calculate this
Games: ranked Solo/Duo and Flex games on the North America server from the patch shown. Remakes (games under 5 minutes) are excluded.
A game only counts when Lucian and Mel played the same position on opposite teams, so roaming, lane swaps within a team or a champion merely being in the same game never count as this matchup.
The 95% range is a Wilson score interval. Confidence comes from how wide that range is: within ±3 points is very high, ±5 high, ±8 moderate, anything wider low. Below 20 games a matchup is not classified at all.
Expected win rate combines both champions’ win rates in this lane (same games and filters) with the log5 formula: E = A(1−B) / (A(1−B) + B(1−A)). Matchup effect = observed − expected.
"What changes" compares Lucian's choices in this matchup with the same champion's other games in the same lane, and lists a change only when it is at least 3 points and statistically significant (two-proportion z-test, |z| ≥ 2, 20+ games).
Results are not split by rank: the sample per rank is too small for honest per-rank matchup numbers.
Lucian vs Mel Laning Stats
At 15 minutes
Solo kills are tracked from this patch on — 0 games have them so far, shown from 30.
Whole-game averages
Lucian vs Mel Win Rate by Game Length
Lucian's win rate against Mel by game length. The dot is the win rate, the bar its 95% range and the dashed line the champion's usual win rate at that length. Lengths with fewer than 25 games are left blank.
No game length stands out: Lucian's results against Mel in short and long games are within the margin of error of each other.
Lucian vs Mel Power Spikes
Who is ahead at each stage, measured from these games. A stage reads "Even" when the difference is inside the margin of error, and "Insufficient data" when there are too few games to tell.
- Lane (15 min)EvenLucian gold at 15: −311
- First itemEvenLucian: 11.2 min · Mel: 10.8 min
- Games under 20 minInsufficient data
- 20–30 min gamesInsufficient data
- 30+ min gamesInsufficient data
What Lucian Changes Against Mel
Choices Lucian players make noticeably more or less often in this matchup than in their other Bot games.
Black CleaverItemUsually4.9%vs Mel13.9%+9.0 pts
Usually1.7%vs Mel8.3%+6.6 pts
Usually2.6%vs Mel8.3%+5.7 pts
Best Lucian Build vs Mel
Usual Lucian build (Bot)
69.6% win rate · 46 games
Against Mel
Not enough matchup-specific build data: only 5 of 23 Lucian games against Mel carried a complete build, which is too few to recommend an item path from. Use Lucian's standard build instead.
- Lucian usually completes Essence Reaver first, at 11.2 min (median of 29 games).
- Mel usually completes Luden's Echo first, at 10.8 min (median of 25 games).
- Skill priority: Q > E > W — the same as usual.
Builds are ranked by the lower edge of their win rate range, not the raw win rate, so a build seen in a handful of wins never outranks a proven one.
Best Lucian Runes vs Mel
Usual Lucian runes (Bot)
Press the Attack
67.9% win rate · 28 games
Against Mel
Too few games for a matchup-specific rune page yet — use the usual page.
Lucian matchup data for League of Legends patch 26.18. The table below shows Lucian's win rate, gold difference, and performance stats against every champion in the current meta. Click any champion name to see a detailed head-to-head breakdown including the best Lucian build, runes, laning stats, and early vs late game analysis for that specific matchup.
Other Lucian Matchups
Hardest for Lucian
Easiest for Lucian
Win rate and games for each matchup. Lists are ranked by the edge of the 95% range so small samples cannot top them; matchups with at least 50 games only.
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Lucian vs Mel FAQ - Patch 26.18
Who wins Lucian vs Mel?
Current data slightly favors Lucian, but the sample is too limited for a strong conclusion: Lucian wins 52.8% of 36 games (95% range 37.0–68.0%).
What is Lucian's win rate against Mel?
Lucian wins 52.8% of 36 Bot games against Mel on patch 26.18 (95% range 37.0–68.0%). Based on both champions' overall Bot win rates, 50.8% would be expected.
Does Lucian counter Mel?
Not clearly. Lucian wins 52.8% of 36 games against Mel, and the 95% range (37.0–68.0%) includes 50%, so neither champion reliably counters the other on current data.
Who wins lane, Lucian or Mel?
Neither side reliably wins the lane: the average gold difference at 15 minutes is 311, within the margin of error (36 games).
Does Lucian outscale Mel?
There are too few games of each length to tell yet.
When is Mel strongest against Lucian?
On current data there is no stage of the game where Mel is ahead of Lucian beyond the margin of error.
What should Lucian build against Mel?
There are not enough games for a matchup-specific core, so use Lucian's usual Bot core: The Collector, Essence Reaver, Infinity Edge. The biggest change against Mel: Black Cleaver (4.9% usually, 13.9% here).
What runes should Lucian use against Mel?
Use Lucian's usual Press the Attack page (Precision + Inspiration); there are too few games for a matchup-specific page.